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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Aslam
Start
T U T S T
2–0
Full-time
Aalesund
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
2,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Start 10. · Aalesund 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredrikstad 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Asane 4 3 0 1 +2 9
3 Ham-Kam 4 2 2 0 +5 8
4 Bryne 4 2 1 1 +4 7
5 Grorud 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Jerv 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Aalesund 3 2 0 1 +0 6
8 Raufoss 4 1 1 2 -1 4
9 Sandnes ULF 4 1 1 2 -1 4
10 Start 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Ranheim 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Stjørdals-Blink 4 1 0 3 -4 3
13 Sogndal 4 0 2 2 -2 2
14 Ull/Kisa 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Strommen 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 KFUM Oslo 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Aalesund
P. Reinhardsen 🟨
29′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Tønnessen
54′
E. Schulze 🟨
56′
M. Ugland 🔁
↦ M. Moldskred
58′
61′
🟨 N. Castro
2–0 E. Marković
64′
70′
🔁 Nenass
↦ S. Nordli
70′
🔁 M. Diaw
↦ T. Kallevåg
70′
🔁 T. Agdestein
↦ K. Ødemarksbakken
S. Sjøkvist 🔁
↦ J. Jørgensen
75′
J. Deumeland 🟨
90′
98′
🔁 I. Määttä
↦ T. Agdestein
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Start

1 J. Deumeland
6 J. Jørgensen
3 V. Bergan
15 H. Robstad
22 K. Tønnessen
5 P. Reinhardsen
11 E. Schulze
10 E. Marković
7 M. Moldskred
9 M. Ramsland
17 A. Akinyemi
Bench (7)
16 M. Ugland
21 S. Sjøkvist
12 A. Wichne
19 E. Pedersen
31 A. Ujkani
23 S. Buch
43 L. Daland

Coach: J. Hardarson

Aalesund

13 M. Lansing
33 S. Rafn
16 J. Hatlehol
3 Q. Jansen
38 N. Hopland
14 T. Kallevåg
6 E. Segberg
11 S. Nordli
15 K. Ødemarksbakken
22 S. Haugen
9 N. Castro
Bench (7)
7 Nenass
17 M. Diaw
23 T. Agdestein
19 I. Määttä
1 A. Lie
4 J. Grønner
18 D. Ólafsson

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Aslam · 86 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.