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Coppa Italia
Referee: F Maresca
Juventus
S T S U T
1–0
Full-time
Lazio
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 17. · Lazio 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cremonese 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Torino 4 3 0 1 +7 9
3 Bari 3 2 0 1 +5 6
4 Spezia 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Parma 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Fiorentina 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Inter 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Modena 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Monza 3 2 0 1 +1 6
10 Genoa 3 2 0 1 +1 6
11 Bologna 3 2 0 1 +1 6
12 Ascoli 2 1 1 0 +1 4
13 Sampdoria 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 +2 3
15 Brescia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
16 FeralpiSalo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
17 Juventus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Lazio 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Udinese 2 1 0 1 +0 3
20 Cagliari 2 1 0 1 +0 3
21 Roma 2 1 0 1 +0 3
22 Spal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
23 Palermo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
24 Cittadella 2 1 0 1 -3 3
25 Napoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Perugia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Benevento 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Lecce 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Venezia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Frosinone 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Reggiana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Milan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Reggina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Cosenza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Sudtirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Salernitana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Verona 1 0 0 1 -3 0
42 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
43 Padova 1 0 0 1 -3 0
44 Como 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Lazio
1–0 Bremer
F. Kostić
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Pedro
↦ C. Immobile
59′
🔁 S. Milinković-Savić
↦ M. Vecino
M. Kean 🔁
↦ D. Vlahović
63′
F. Miretti 🔁
↦ N. Fagioli
64′
Juan Cuadrado 🟨
65′
68′
🟨 Mattia Zaccagni
74′
🔁 Marcos Antônio
↦ D. Cataldi
74′
🔁 T. Bašić
↦ Luis Alberto
77′
🔁 N. Casale
↦ A. Romagnoli
Á. Di María 🔁
↦ F. Chiesa
78′
Mattia Perin 🟨
79′
Danilo 🟨
83′
M. De Sciglio 🔁
↦ J. Cuadrado
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Juventus

3-5-2
36 M. Perin G
6 Danilo D
3 Bremer D
12 Alex Sandro D
11 J. Cuadrado M
44 N. Fagioli M
5 M. Locatelli M
25 A. Rabiot M
17 F. Kostić M
7 F. Chiesa F
9 D. Vlahović F
Bench (11)
18 M. Kean
20 F. Miretti
22 Á. Di María
2 M. De Sciglio
24 D. Rugani
1 W. Szczęsny
30 M. Soulé
32 L. Paredes
43 S. Iling-Junior
23 C. Pinsoglio
15 F. Gatti

Coach: M. Allegri

Lazio

4-3-3
1 Luís Maximiano G
29 M. Lazzari D
4 Patric D
13 A. Romagnoli D
77 A. Marušić D
5 M. Vecino M
32 D. Cataldi M
10 Luis Alberto M
7 Felipe Anderson F
17 C. Immobile F
20 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (14)
9 Pedro
21 S. Milinković-Savić
6 Marcos Antônio
88 T. Bašić
15 N. Casale
31 M. Adamonis
50 M. Bertini
18 L. Romero
23 E. Hysaj
34 Mario Gila
94 I. Provedel
26 Ş. Radu
11 M. Cancellieri
3 L. Pellegrini

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.