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Serie A
Referee: M Marchetti
Juventus
T S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Udinese
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 51%
63%
38%
Points per game
2,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
31%
56%
Both score Ø 44%
19%
69%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
0,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 3. · Udinese 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 16 13 2 1 +24 41
2 Milan 16 11 3 2 +15 36
3 Juventus 16 10 4 2 +18 34
4 Inter 16 11 0 5 +13 33
5 Lazio 16 9 3 4 +14 30
6 Roma 16 9 3 4 +5 30
7 Atalanta 16 8 4 4 +7 28
8 Udinese 16 6 7 3 +7 25
9 Fiorentina 17 6 5 6 -1 23
10 Torino 16 6 4 6 -1 22
11 Bologna 16 5 4 7 -6 19
12 Lecce 16 4 6 6 -2 18
13 Empoli 16 4 6 6 -7 18
14 Salernitana 16 4 5 7 -6 17
15 Monza 16 5 2 9 -6 17
16 Sassuolo 17 4 4 9 -9 16
17 Spezia 16 3 5 8 -12 14
18 Sampdoria 16 2 3 11 -20 9
19 Cremonese 16 0 7 9 -16 7
20 Verona 16 1 3 12 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Udinese
Manuel Locatelli 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Isaac Success
F. Chiesa 🔁
↦ F. Miretti
62′
L. Paredes 🔁
↦ M. Locatelli
62′
A. Milik 🔁
↦ Á. Di María
66′
66′
🔁 T. Arslan
↦ J. Makengo
67′
🟨 Jaka Bijol
69′
🔁 E. Ebosse
↦ D. Udogie
70′
🔁 K. Ehizibue
↦ I. Success
70′
🔁 L. Samardžić
↦ S. Lovrić
N. Fagioli 🔁
↦ M. Kean
80′
M. Soulé 🔁
↦ F. Kostić
80′
1–0 Danilo
F. Chiesa
86′
87′
🔁 I. Nestorovski
↦ Walace
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Juventus

3-5-1-1
1 W. Szczęsny G
6 Danilo D
24 D. Rugani D
12 Alex Sandro D
8 W. McKennie M
25 A. Rabiot M
5 M. Locatelli M
20 F. Miretti M
17 F. Kostić M
22 Á. Di María F
18 M. Kean F
Bench (12)
7 F. Chiesa
32 L. Paredes
14 A. Milik
44 N. Fagioli
30 M. Soulé
42 T. Barbieri
45 E. Barrenechea
51 A. Riccio
23 C. Pinsoglio
36 M. Perin
43 S. Iling-Junior
15 F. Gatti

Coach: M. Allegri

Udinese

3-5-2
1 M. Silvestri G
50 Rodrigo Becão D
29 J. Bijol D
18 N. Pérez D
37 R. Pereyra M
4 S. Lovrić M
11 Walace M
6 J. Makengo M
13 D. Udogie M
9 Beto F
7 I. Success F
Bench (14)
5 T. Arslan
23 E. Ebosse
19 K. Ehizibue
24 L. Samardžić
30 I. Nestorovski
20 D. Padelli
39 Vivaldo Semedo
14 J. Abankwah
15 Leonardo Buta
99 E. Piana
2 F. Ebosele
8 M. Jajalo
67 A. Guessand
80 S. Pafundi

Coach: A. Sottil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,78
U
3,75
B
4,66
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.