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Coppa Italia

Referee: D Perenzoni

Cremonese

T T S S T

2–0

Full-time

Sampdoria

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

7 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 4

0 Offside 5

17 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Monza	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Arezzo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Vicenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Catania	2	0	1	1	-2	1
23	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Ravenna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Potenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Union Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Monza	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Arezzo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Vicenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Catania	2	0	1	1	-2	1
6	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Arezzo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Ravenna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Potenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Union Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.