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LaLiga2
Referee: Alejandro Ojaos Valera
Almeria
S U S U T
3–0
Full-time
Eldense
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +4 +2.8 3
2 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 -1.0 3
3 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.3 3
4 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.7 3
5 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.4 3
6 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.6 3
7 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Cadiz 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.0 1
10 Celta B 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.0 1
11 Oviedo 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.1 1
12 Granada 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
13 Sp Gijon 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.2 1
14 Sabadell 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.2 1
15 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.7 0
16 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.4 0
17 Sociedad B 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.6 0
18 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -2 +1.0 0
19 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.3 0
20 Ceuta 1 0 0 1 -4 -2.8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Eldense
11′
🟨 David Ruiz Montero
1–0 F. Bonini
N. Melamed
15′
25′
🟨 Jesús Clemente
Stefan Džodić 🟨
34′
44′
🟨 Guillermo Macho
2–0 S. Dzodic
M. de la Fuente
45′
3–0 N. Melamed
45′
Half-time 3–0
Stefan Džodić ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
48′
61′
🔁 J. Rastrojo
↦ M. Bustillo
B. Cipenga 🔁
↦ A. Embarba
66′
Q. Junyent 🔁
↦ N. Melamed
66′
76′
🔁 J. Martin
↦ M. Carmona
76′
🔁 Rodri
↦ P. Cabanes
M. Luna 🔁
↦ D. Chirino
81′
Leo Baptistao 🔁
↦ S. Arribas
81′
83′
🔁 B. Calvo
↦ G. Macho
83′
🔁 C. Guirao
↦ Fidel
M. Vesga 🔁
↦ S. Dzodic
88′
Léo Baptistão
penalty missed
97′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
22 D. Chirino D
5 J. Pulido D
18 F. Bonini D
3 A. Munoz D
29 S. Dzodic M
8 Gui Guedes M
23 A. Embarba M
11 S. Arribas M
10 N. Melamed M
24 M. de la Fuente F
Bench (12)
13 F. Martinez
30 J. Lopez
19 Rodrigo Ely
21 Chumi
20 A. Sola
2 M. Luna
4 N. Monte
17 B. Cipenga
33 Q. Junyent
6 M. Vesga
12 Leo Baptistao
7 J. Morcillo

Coach: Javier Garcia Pimienta Francisco

Eldense

4-2-3-1
1 R. Vila G
17 J. Clemente D
4 F. Smand D
34 J. Olaizola D
21 D. Ruiz D
14 J. Smith M
18 G. Macho M
10 Fidel M
8 M. Bustillo M
16 P. Cabanes M
9 M. Carmona F
Bench (11)
36 D. Bernabeu
13 Juanpa
23 J. Martin
26 I. Carbonell
22 J. Yanda
31 A. Marin
6 B. Calvo
15 C. Guirao
30 D. Rodriguez
20 Rodri
7 J. Rastrojo

Coach: Claudio Barragan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,29
U
4,90
B
8,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Ojaos Valera · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.