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Superligaen

Referee: Frederik Svendsen

Brondby

S T U S S

3–2

Full-time

Sonderjyske

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Sonderjyske

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,63 xG 0,92

64% Possession 36%

18 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brondby 2. · Sonderjyske 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	3	3	0	0	+7	-0.1	9
2	Brondby	3	2	1	0	+3	-1.7	7
3	Midtjylland	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.6	7
4	Nordsjaelland	3	2	1	0	+2	+6.2	7
5	Viborg	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.3	7
6	Horsens	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.4	4
7	Silkeborg	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.1	4
8	Randers FC	4	1	1	2	-3	-3.9	4
9	Odense	4	1	0	3	-2	+0.1	3
10	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.3	2
11	Lyngby	4	0	2	2	-3	+1.7	2
12	Sonderjyske	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viborg	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.7	6
2	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+2	+5.1	6
3	Randers FC	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.3	4
4	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
5	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
6	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
7	Odense	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.2	3
8	Silkeborg	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.9	3
9	Lyngby	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.9	2
10	Aarhus	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Sonderjyske	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
12	Horsens	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+6	+0.7	6
2	Brondby	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.6	4
3	Midtjylland	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
4	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.1	3
5	Nordsjaelland	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
6	Aarhus	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
7	Silkeborg	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
8	Viborg	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.0	1
9	Randers FC	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.6	0
10	Sonderjyske	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
11	Odense	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.1	0
12	Lyngby	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.