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Coppa Italia

Referee: A Zanotti

Cagliari

S S S S T

1–2

Full-time

Verona

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Verona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

14 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 10. · Verona 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Monza	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Udinese	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Arezzo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Venezia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Parma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Mantova	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Vicenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Catania	2	0	1	1	-2	1
25	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Ravenna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Potenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Union Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Udinese	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Monza	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Arezzo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Parma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Vicenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Mantova	2	1	0	1	-1	3
4	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Frosinone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Catania	2	0	1	1	-2	1
9	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Arezzo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Ravenna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Potenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Union Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-3	0
21	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.