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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Raczkowski

Rakow

S T U T T

1–2

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

0,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,8

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

2,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,84 xG 2,22

63% Possession 37%

12 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rakow 18. · Gornik Zabrze 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	6	3	3	0	+8	+3.8	12
2	Lech Poznan	4	3	1	0	+5	+3.4	10
3	Wisla	6	3	1	2	+2	+4.3	10
4	GKS Katowice	5	3	0	2	+6	-1.9	9
5	Gornik Zabrze	4	3	0	1	+3	-0.8	9
6	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+3	+2.4	9
7	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	2	1	+3	-1.1	8
8	Korona Kielce	5	2	2	1	+2	-1.7	8
9	Zaglebie	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.6	8
10	Cracovia	6	2	2	2	-1	+3.2	8
11	Piast Gliwice	6	2	1	3	-3	-3.6	7
12	Radomiak Radom	6	2	1	3	-7	-3.0	7
13	Widzew Lodz	6	1	3	2	+0	-0.1	6
14	Slask Wroclaw	6	1	3	2	-1	-0.6	6
15	Motor Lublin	6	1	2	3	-4	-0.3	5
16	Wisla Plock	5	1	1	3	-7	-0.9	4
17	Wieczysta Krakow	5	1	0	4	-4	-0.9	3
18	Rakow	4	0	0	4	-6	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla	3	3	0	0	+4	+2.1	9
2	Legia	3	2	1	0	+7	+2.0	7
3	Zaglebie	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.8	7
4	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.5	7
5	GKS Katowice	2	2	0	0	+7	+2.4	6
6	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.0	6
7	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.2	6
8	Slask Wroclaw	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.8	5
9	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.6	4
10	Pogon Szczecin	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.2	4
11	Piast Gliwice	3	1	1	1	+0	-2.0	4
12	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
13	Motor Lublin	3	1	0	2	-2	+2.4	3
14	Korona Kielce	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.3	2
15	Widzew Lodz	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.4	1
16	Wisla Plock	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.2	1
17	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
18	Rakow	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.0	6
2	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.7	6
3	Korona Kielce	3	2	0	1	+2	-1.9	6
4	Widzew Lodz	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.4	5
5	Legia	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.8	5
6	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
7	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
8	GKS Katowice	3	1	0	2	-1	-4.3	3
9	Wieczysta Krakow	4	1	0	3	-3	-0.2	3
10	Piast Gliwice	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.6	3
11	Wisla Plock	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.1	3
12	Cracovia	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
13	Motor Lublin	3	0	2	1	-2	-2.7	2
14	Wisla	3	0	1	2	-2	+2.2	1
15	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	1	2	-2	+1.2	1
16	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.2	1
17	Rakow	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.4	0
18	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-7	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.