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Coupe de France
Referee: A Ustaritz
1–7
Full-time
Red Star
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Bastia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Boulogne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Metz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Ginglin Cesson 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Chasselay MDA 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Angoulême 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Dragon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Corte 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Linas-Montlhery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Crépy-en-Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Diables Noirs 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Rodez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
23 Alençon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
25 FCSR Obernai 1 0 0 1 -3 0
26 Feytiat 1 0 0 1 -3 0
27 C' Chartres 1 0 0 1 -4 0
28 Freyming 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Haubourdin Red Star
15′
K. Cissé 0–1
1–1 I. Diene
16′
34′
J. Escartin 1–2
Half-time 2–2
46′
D. Corailler 2–2
own goal
49′
I. Botella 2–3
T. Suvée 🔁
↦ B. Kourouma
60′
A. Floris 🔁
↦ K. Wattier
60′
63′
🔁 R. Slimani
↦ H. Benali
63′
🔁 V. Kany
↦ J. Escartin
71′
S. Renel 2–4
74′
I. Botella 2–5
A. Cambier 🔁
↦ A. Duriez
78′
R. Lelong 🔁
↦ L. Samson
78′
R. Lenfant 🔁
↦ T. Carton
78′
80′
🔁 D. Durand
↦ H. Mbock
80′
🔁 M. Ifnaoui
↦ R. Hachem
80′
🔁 M. Ahamada
↦ D. Durivaux
88′
M. Ifnaoui 2–6
Full-time 2–6

Line-ups

Haubourdin

I. Diene
B. Kourouma
D. Corailler
A. Duriez
G. Maucourt
R. Saelen
K. Wattier
A. Anthony
T. Carton
H. Suvée
L. Samson
Bench (7)
T. Suvée
A. Floris
A. Cambier
R. Lelong
R. Lenfant
M. Dequand
L. Bombe

Coach: R. Loyer

Red Star

W. Avognan
A. El Hriti
R. Hachem
D. Durivaux
J. Escartin
M. Meyapya
H. Mbock
S. Renel
I. Botella
H. Benali
K. Cissé
Bench (7)
R. Slimani
V. Kany
D. Durand
M. Ifnaoui
M. Ahamada
J. Eickmayer
P. Bonet

Coach: G. Poirier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.