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Coupe de France
Referee: T Leprodhomme
Vannes
U U T
1–2
Full-time
Le Mans
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vannes Le Mans
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Red Star 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 SA Mérignac 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Caen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Bastia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Saint-Denis 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Boulogne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Metz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Ginglin Cesson 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Chasselay MDA 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Angoulême 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 RC Saint Joseph 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Dragon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Raon l'Etape 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Biesheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Corte 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Linas-Montlhery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Saint-Pierre Milizac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Dinan Léhon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Crépy-en-Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Diables Noirs 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Rodez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Samaritaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Alençon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 Ruffiac Malestroit 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 0 1 -3 0
36 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
37 FCSR Obernai 1 0 0 1 -3 0
38 Feytiat 1 0 0 1 -3 0
39 C' Chartres 1 0 0 1 -4 0
40 Freyming 1 0 0 1 -4 0
41 Haubourdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0
42 St-Philbert Réorthe JA 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vannes Le Mans
31′
A. Rabillard 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 L. Piquionne
51′
72′
🔁 B. Oggad
↦ G. Bernardeau
72′
🔁 E. Quarshie
↦ V. Burlet
72′
🔁 L. Calodat
↦ A. Rabillard
72′
🔁 T. Keita
↦ N. Tronchet
76′
L. Calodat 1–2
E. Vallot 🔁
↦ M. Guillemot
81′
85′
🔁 S. Yohou
↦ J. Matumona
P. Bikoi 🔁
↦ A. Thior
88′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Vannes

M. Petitgenet
T. Bouedec
B. Kerviche
D. Ndeke
M. Guillemot
B. Bourlès
A. Thior
V. Fablet
T. Salibur
L. Piquionne
H. Le Bolloch
Bench (7)
E. Vallot
P. Bikoi
M. Gillmann
N. Mariello
P. Nakassila
T. Ecalard
V. Morhan

Coach: S. Didot

Le Mans

E. Hatfout
N. Dekoke
A. Lauray
T. Eyoum
V. Burlet
J. Matumona
A. Ouchen
G. Bernardeau
A. Rabillard
D. Guèye
N. Tronchet
Bench (7)
B. Oggad
E. Quarshie
L. Calodat
T. Keita
S. Yohou
N. Kocik
Z. Amir

Coach: P. Videira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Leprodhomme · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.