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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Santander
S S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Burgos
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 50%
71%
29%
Points per game
2,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
29%
Both score Ø 47%
57%
36%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
3 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 7
0 Offside 12
17 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 1. · Burgos 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 14 10 3 1 +11 33
2 Sp Gijon 14 7 4 3 +8 25
3 Mirandes 15 7 4 4 +4 25
4 Zaragoza 14 7 2 5 +7 23
5 Oviedo 14 6 5 3 +3 23
6 Granada 14 6 4 4 +4 22
7 Levante 12 6 3 3 +4 21
8 Elche 14 6 3 5 +3 21
9 Eibar 15 6 3 6 -1 21
10 Castellon 14 6 2 6 +2 20
11 Malaga 13 4 8 1 +1 20
12 Huesca 13 5 4 4 +5 19
13 Almeria 13 5 4 4 +0 19
14 Albacete 15 4 5 6 -4 17
15 La Coruna 14 4 4 6 +1 16
16 Cordoba 13 4 4 5 -2 16
17 Eldense 14 4 3 7 -4 15
18 Burgos 14 4 3 7 -6 15
19 Cadiz 14 3 5 6 -6 14
20 Ferrol 14 2 6 6 -8 12
21 Tenerife 13 2 4 7 -7 10
22 Cartagena 14 2 1 11 -15 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Burgos
1–0 Marco Sangalli
Iñigo Vicente
12′
23′
🟨 Aitor Córdoba Querejeta
2–0 Javi Montero
Iñigo Vicente
24′
Manu Hernando 🟥
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🟨 Daniel Ojeda
Javi Castro 🔁
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
46′
46′
🔁 Edu Espiau
↦ Iván Morante
59′
🟨 Florian Miguel
C. Michelin 🔁
↦ Marco Sangalli
66′
M. Gueye 🔁
↦ Andrés Martín
66′
Marco Carrascal 🔁
↦ Iñigo Vicente
66′
68′
🟨 Miguel Atienza
69′
🔁 Borja Sánchez
↦ Dani Ojeda
82′
🟨 Pipa
Ekain Zenitagoia 🔁
↦ Jon Karrikaburu
83′
86′
🔁 A. Arroyo
↦ Pipa
Aritz Aldasoro 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
15 Marco Sangalli D
18 Manu Hernando D
24 Javi Montero D
40 Mario García D
21 Unai Vencedor M
8 Aritz Aldasoro M
11 Andrés Martín M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
22 Pablo Rodríguez M
19 Jon Karrikaburu F
Bench (12)
5 Javi Castro
17 C. Michelin
12 M. Gueye
28 Marco Carrascal
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
1 Miquel Parera
43 Izan Yurrieta
32 Jorge Salinas
34 Diego Díaz
3 Saúl García
7 L. Junior
20 S. Camara

Coach: José Alberto López

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 Ander Cantero G
20 Pipa D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
2 L. López D
3 F. Miguel D
23 Iván Morante M
5 Miguel Atienza M
11 Álex Sancris M
16 Curro Sánchez M
7 Dani Ojeda M
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (12)
19 Edu Espiau
10 Borja Sánchez
4 A. Arroyo
1 L. Badiashile
28 Mario Cantero
22 T. Rodríguez
17 Javi López-Pinto
37 Marc Monedero
32 Hugo Pascual
33 Marcelo Expósito
30 O. El Goumiri
27 David López

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,56
U
4,10
B
5,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.