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KNVB Beker

Referee: D Makkelie

Groningen

S U T T T

2–3

Full-time

Spakenburg

S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Spakenburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,2

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — KNVB Beker · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

0,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

71% Possession 29%

17 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 1

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 20. · Spakenburg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Blauw Geel	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	URK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	FC Emmen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	NAC Breda	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	HV & CV Quick	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Sportlust '46	3	2	0	1	-1	6
16	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
17	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Kozakken Boys	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Den Bosch	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Dongen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
52	RKAV Volendam	2	0	1	1	-2	1
53	DEM	2	0	1	1	-3	1
54	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
55	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+3	3
5	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	URK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
22	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Kozakken Boys	2	0	1	1	-2	1
29	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	DEM	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Sportlust '46	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	HV & CV Quick	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	FC Emmen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
37	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.