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KNVB Beker
Referee: J van der Laan
Heracles
T T T T U
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,0
This season — KNVB Beker · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 7
5 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 47. · Go Ahead Eagles 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 De Treffers 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Blauw Geel 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 De Graafschap 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Nijmegen 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Hercules 3 2 0 1 +4 6
6 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 ADO '20 3 2 0 1 +3 6
8 Den Haag 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 URK 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 FC Emmen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Spakenburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 NAC Breda 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 HV & CV Quick 3 2 0 1 +1 6
14 Sportlust '46 3 2 0 1 -1 6
15 Staphorst 3 1 1 1 +1 4
16 Hoek 3 1 1 1 +0 4
17 Kozakken Boys 3 1 1 1 -1 4
18 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 OFC Oostzaan 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 Volendam 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
24 Go Ahead Eagles 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Cambuur 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 Twente 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Excelsior 2 1 0 1 +1 3
29 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 +1 3
30 Katwijk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Zwolle 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Groene Ster 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Dongen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Den Bosch 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 FC Eindhoven 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 GVVV Veenendaal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Telstar 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Almere City 2 1 0 1 -2 3
43 Rijnvogels 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 AFC Amsterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Hsc 21 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Roda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Heracles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 GVV Unitas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 RKAV Volendam 2 0 1 1 -2 1
53 DEM 2 0 1 1 -3 1
54 Harkemase Boys 2 0 1 1 -4 1
55 VVOG 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 For Sittard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 OJC Rosmalen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 ASWH 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Gemert 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Dovo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 ACV 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Koninklijke HFC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 HHC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 JOS Watergraafsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Noordwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Barendrecht 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 FC Lisse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Dordrecht 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 UDI '19 1 0 0 1 -4 0
83 Ter Leede 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 MVV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Go Ahead Eagles
Justin Hoogma 🟨
7′
Half-time 0–0
Emil Hansson 🟨
46′
R. Roosken 🔁
↦ A. Ouahim
46′
N. Laursen 🔁
↦ E. Hansson
46′
46′
🔁 O. Edvardsen
↦ B. Adekanye
48′
I. Lidberg 0–1
T. Tekie
A. Satriano 🔁
↦ S. Armenteros
72′
S. Sonnenberg 🔁
↦ S. Cestic
72′
72′
🔁 J. Markelo
↦ R. Fernandes
72′
🔁 S. Sow
↦ I. Lidberg
L. Wehmeyer 🔁
↦ T. Bruns
77′
Mateo Leš 🟨
83′
89′
🔁 E. Linthorst
↦ W. Willumsson
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-2-3-1
28 R. Jalving G
2 S. Mokono D
6 S. Cestic D
21 J. Hoogma D
22 M. Leš D
15 L. Schoofs M
17 T. Bruns M
8 E. Sierra M
10 A. Ouahim M
29 E. Hansson M
33 S. Armenteros F
Bench (9)
12 R. Roosken
11 N. Laursen
9 A. Satriano
4 S. Sonnenberg
39 L. Wehmeyer
36 T. Jansink
1 M. Brouwer
34 C. Keizer
5 M. Rente

Coach: J. Lammers

Go Ahead Eagles

4-4-2
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
25 J. Amofa D
6 J. Idzes D
4 José Fontán D
11 B. Adekanye M
21 E. Llansana M
15 T. Tekie M
7 R. Fernandes M
18 W. Willumsson F
9 I. Lidberg F
Bench (12)
23 O. Edvardsen
24 J. Markelo
19 S. Sow
8 E. Linthorst
17 M. Berden
33 F. Mattiello
3 G. Nauber
26 J. Bakker
27 F. Stokkers
22 E. Mulder
40 L. Plogmann
20 X. Blomme

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.