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KNVB Beker
Referee: A Bos
NAC Breda
T T T S S
1–2
Full-time
Heerenveen
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — KNVB Beker · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match NAC Breda 14. · Heerenveen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 De Graafschap 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Utrecht 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Spakenburg 3 3 0 0 +3 9
4 De Treffers 4 3 0 1 +2 9
5 Blauw Geel 3 2 0 1 +5 6
6 Nijmegen 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Hercules 3 2 0 1 +4 6
8 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Katwijk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 ADO '20 3 2 0 1 +3 6
11 Den Haag 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 Go Ahead Eagles 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 FC Emmen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 NAC Breda 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 HV & CV Quick 3 2 0 1 +1 6
16 URK 3 2 0 1 +0 6
17 Sportlust '46 3 2 0 1 -1 6
18 Staphorst 3 1 1 1 +1 4
19 Hoek 3 1 1 1 +0 4
20 Kozakken Boys 3 1 1 1 -1 4
21 OFC Oostzaan 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 Groningen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
23 Volendam 2 1 0 1 +2 3
24 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 0 1 +2 3
25 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 Twente 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Cambuur 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Excelsior 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Den Bosch 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Groene Ster 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Dongen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 FC Eindhoven 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Telstar 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Zwolle 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 GVVV Veenendaal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Almere City 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 Rijnvogels 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 AFC Amsterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Roda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Hsc 21 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 GVV Unitas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Heracles 2 0 1 1 -1 1
53 RKAV Volendam 2 0 1 1 -2 1
54 DEM 2 0 1 1 -3 1
55 Harkemase Boys 2 0 1 1 -4 1
56 VVOG 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 For Sittard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 OJC Rosmalen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 ASWH 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Gemert 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Dovo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 ACV 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Koninklijke HFC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 HHC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 JOS Watergraafsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Noordwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Barendrecht 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Dordrecht 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 FC Lisse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 UDI '19 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 MVV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Ter Leede 1 0 0 1 -4 0
86 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

NAC Breda Heerenveen
1–0 T. Boere
16′
27′
🟨 Joost van Aken
30′
🟨 Thom Haye
Odysseus Velanas 🟨
41′
Aimé Omgba 🟨
43′
43′
🟨 Rami Kaib
Half-time 1–1
46′
S. van Hooijdonk 1–1
R. Kaib
46′
🔁 P. Bochniewicz
↦ J. van Aken
53′
S. van Hooijdonk 1–2
M. van Ewijk
V. Wernersson 🔁
↦ M. Rutten
55′
J. Antonia 🔁
↦ B. Lucassen
66′
S. Agougil 🔁
↦ A. Omgba
66′
66′
🔁 O. Sahraoui
↦ M. Köhlert
66′
🔁 A. Timossi Andersson
↦ C. Nunnely
J. Herrmann 🔁
↦ T. Boere
67′
Rowan Besselink 🟨
72′
A. Kaied 🔁
↦ J. Vet
82′
89′
🔁 D. Karlsbakk
↦ R. Al Hajj
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

NAC Breda

5-3-2
1 R. Kortsmit G
2 B. Lucassen D
23 R. Besselink D
16 J. Vet D
3 A. MacNulty D
21 M. Rutten D
28 A. Omgba M
32 C. Staring M
10 O. Velanas M
39 T. Boere F
20 E. Ómarsson F
Bench (9)
31 V. Wernersson
7 J. Antonia
18 S. Agougil
19 J. Herrmann
41 A. Kaied
24 T. Velthuis
36 P. van de Merbel
8 E. Banzuzi
15 C. Martina

Coach: P. Hyballa

Heerenveen

4-2-3-1
1 X. Mous G
27 M. van Ewijk D
25 J. Bruma D
3 J. van Aken D
13 R. Kaib D
33 T. Haye M
19 S. Olsson M
24 C. Nunnely M
22 R. Al Hajj M
7 M. Köhlert M
17 S. van Hooijdonk F
Bench (10)
5 P. Bochniewicz
20 O. Sahraoui
8 A. Timossi Andersson
9 D. Karlsbakk
15 H. Ali
34 T. Zaal
16 B. Klaverboer
26 A. Tahiri
23 J. Bekkema
6 S. van Ottele

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bos · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.