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DFB-Pokal
Referee: M Fritz
Sandhausen
S T T S T
0–2
Full-time
Freiburg
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandhausen Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,2
4,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,5
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DFB-Pokal · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%
9 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandhausen 17. · Freiburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 +12 9
3 Stuttgart 3 3 0 0 +8 9
4 Union Berlin 3 3 0 0 +4 9
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 2 0 0 +6 6
6 Ein Frankfurt 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +5 6
8 Hoffenheim 3 2 0 1 +4 6
9 Darmstadt 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Bochum 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Nurnberg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 Mainz 3 2 0 1 +2 6
13 Freiburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 Wolfsburg 3 2 0 1 +1 6
15 Paderborn 3 1 1 1 +9 4
16 Karlsruhe 2 1 1 0 +8 4
17 Sandhausen 2 1 1 0 +4 4
18 Werder Bremen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
19 M'gladbach 2 1 0 1 +7 3
20 Augsburg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Hannover 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Bielefeld 2 1 0 1 +0 3
24 St Pauli 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Stuttgarter Kickers 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Hamburg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
29 VfB Lubeck 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 FC Koln 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Holstein Kiel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Braunschweig 2 0 1 1 -1 1
34 Waldhof Mannheim 2 0 1 1 -1 1
35 Regensburg 2 0 1 1 -3 1
36 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Straelen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Kaiserslautern 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Chemnitzer FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Dresden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Bayreuth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Kaan-Marienborn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Illertissen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 SV Rodinghausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Kickers Offenbach 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -3 0
52 TSV 1860 Munich 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 Viktoria Berlin 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 Magdeburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
56 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
57 BW Lohne 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 Bremer Sv 1 0 0 1 -5 0
59 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 0 1 -5 0
60 FV Engers 07 1 0 0 1 -6 0
61 Oberachern 1 0 0 1 -8 0
62 Neustrelitz 1 0 0 1 -8 0
63 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
64 Einheit Wernigerode 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandhausen Freiburg
39′
🟨 Philipp Lienhart
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 L. Höler
↦ Jeong Woo-Yeong
72′
🔁 K. Sildillia
↦ L. Kübler
72′
🔁 R. Dōan
↦ R. Sallai
D. Đumić 🔁
↦ I. Höhn
83′
83′
🔁 N. Petersen
↦ M. Gregoritsch
87′
P. Lienhart 0–1
V. Grifo
P. Ochs 🔁
↦ M. Mehlem
89′
D. Kinsombi 🔁
↦ A. Esswein
89′
95′
N. Petersen 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sandhausen

4-2-3-1
1 P. Drewes G
32 R. Framberger D
15 I. Höhn D
2 A. Zhirov D
20 K. Çalhanoğlu D
5 M. Mehlem M
17 E. Zenga M
30 A. Esswein M
26 J. Bachmann M
8 C. Kinsombi M
14 H. Al Ghaddioui F
Bench (9)
3 D. Đumić
11 P. Ochs
10 D. Kinsombi
23 A. Kutucu
36 C. Okoroji
33 N. Rehnen
19 B. Ajdini
38 F. Evina
18 D. Diekmeier

Coach: A. Schwartz

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
21 N. Atubolu G
17 L. Kübler D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
30 C. Günter D
8 M. Eggestein M
27 N. Höfler M
22 R. Sallai M
29 Jeong Woo-Yeong M
32 V. Grifo M
38 M. Gregoritsch F
Bench (9)
9 L. Höler
25 K. Sildillia
42 R. Dōan
18 N. Petersen
5 M. Gulde
26 M. Flekken
11 D. Kyereh
23 R. Wagner
33 N. Weißhaupt

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Fritz · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.