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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Heerenveen
S T T U U
1–0
Full-time
NAC Breda
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 26%
33%
19%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
73%
63%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
63%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,6
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
17 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
23 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 9. · NAC Breda 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 13 1 2 +24 40
2 Ajax 16 11 2 3 +34 35
3 AZ Alkmaar 16 11 2 3 +14 35
4 Zwolle 16 8 6 2 +8 30
5 Feyenoord 15 7 5 3 +10 26
6 Utrecht 13 7 2 4 -1 23
7 Den Haag 15 7 2 6 -2 23
8 Heracles 16 6 3 7 -9 21
9 Heerenveen 15 5 5 5 -2 20
10 Vitesse 13 5 4 4 +7 19
11 Groningen 16 4 5 7 -2 17
12 Excelsior 16 5 2 9 -8 17
13 VVV Venlo 16 3 7 6 -7 16
14 Willem II 16 4 4 8 -10 16
15 Twente 16 4 1 11 -9 13
16 NAC Breda 16 3 4 9 -16 13
17 Sparta Rotterdam 15 2 5 8 -13 11
18 Roda 16 3 2 11 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen NAC Breda
Half-time 1–0
1–0 P. van Amersfoort
55′
57′
🔁 T. Enevoldsen
↦ T. Ambrose
67′
🔁 Paolo Fernandes
↦ G. Korte
M. Rojas 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
71′
80′
🔁 R. Sprangers
↦ G. Nijholt
N. Næss 🔁
↦ Y. Kobayashi
88′
Doke Schmidt 🟨
90′
R. Ghoochannejhad 🔁
↦ H. Veerman
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
3 D. Høegh D
12 D. Schmidt D
2 D. Dumfries D
5 K. Pierie D
6 S. Schaars M
21 Y. Kobayashi M
8 M. Thorsby M
19 P. van Amersfoort M
18 M. Vlap M
20 H. Veerman F
Bench (9)
7 M. Rojas
4 N. Næss
9 R. Ghoochannejhad
16 L. Woudenberg
17 N. Mihajlović
23 W. van der Steen
24 M. Hansen
26 J. Bruijn
35 J. Hornkamp

Coach: J. Streppel

NAC Breda

4-3-3
12 M. Birighitti G
22 Pablo Marí D
2 F. Sporkslede D
69 Angeliño D
18 B. Meijers D
30 G. Nijholt M
10 R. Vloet M
8 M. El Allouchi M
19 Manu García M
7 G. Korte F
9 T. Ambrose F
Bench (8)
87 T. Enevoldsen
11 Paolo Fernandes
45 R. Sprangers
1 A. Noppert
26 K. Niemczycki
28 D. Snepvangers
33 M. Reuvers
35 J. Horsfield

Coach: S. Vreven

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.