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Referee: T van Pelt

Gemert

T S U

4–0

Full-time

Excelsior '31

S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gemert Excelsior '31

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Eemdijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Poortugaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Quick '20	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Kolping Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	FC Lisse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Olde Veste '54	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Poortugaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Eemdijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Quick '20	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Kolping Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	FC Lisse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Olde Veste '54	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.