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KNVB Beker
Referee: M Perez
2–3
Full-time
Den Haag
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior '31 Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 ADO '20 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Sportlust '46 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Staphorst 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Hoek 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 OFC Oostzaan 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Blauw Geel 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 HV & CV Quick 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Kozakken Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 URK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Excelsior '31 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Dongen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Rijnvogels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 TEC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 GVVV Veenendaal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 FC Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Groene Ster 2 1 0 1 +0 3
21 AFC Amsterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Hsc 21 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 RKAV Volendam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Harkemase Boys 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 GVV Unitas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 DEM 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 VVOG 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 OJC Rosmalen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 ASWH 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Gemert 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Dovo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 ACV 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 JOS Watergraafsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Noordwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Barendrecht 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -3 0
46 FC Lisse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 UDI '19 1 0 0 1 -4 0
49 Ter Leede 1 0 0 1 -4 0
50 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Excelsior '31 Den Haag
1–0 J. Veltkamp
S. Kaptein
28′
34′
M. Bilate 1–1
A. Ćatić
40′
🔁 J. Zwarts
↦ Guillem Rodríguez
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 T. Verheydt
↦ M. Bilate
46′
🔁 M. Sellouki
↦ M. de Waal
2–1 G. Werkhoven
M. Gerritsen Mulkes
49′
58′
M. Sellouki 2–2
A. Ćatić
61′
T. Verheydt 2–3
X. Severina
R. Hemmink 🔁
↦ S. Kaptein
62′
L. van Beek 🔁
↦ M. Gerritsen Mulkes
62′
S. Seppenwoolde 🔁
↦ A. de Jong
62′
67′
🔁 T. Asante
↦ D. Hall
M. Seppenwoolde 🔁
↦ N. Davina
72′
D. Paais 🔁
↦ N. Leemhuis
77′
81′
🔁 S. Esajas
↦ T. Verheydt
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Excelsior '31

1 A. van Zaltbommel
8 N. Davina
5 V. Schmidt
4 C. Vloedgraven
12 A. de Jong
21 M. Gerritsen Mulkes
7 D. Reinders
20 N. Leemhuis
10 J. Veltkamp
9 G. Werkhoven
15 S. Kaptein
Bench (12)
6 R. Hemmink
3 L. van Beek
22 S. Seppenwoolde
18 M. Seppenwoolde
17 D. Paais
23 A. van Merlevoort
26 L. Nijeboer
14 D. Bruinink
11 H. Ezafzafi
25 A. Wesseh
27 J. Sapulete
28 J. Baan

Coach: J. Wouda

Den Haag

23 L. Koopmans
33 D. Werker
5 D. Hall
45 Guillem Rodríguez
25 F. van Breemen
6 D. Klas
17 T. Thomas
10 M. de Waal
42 M. Bilate
34 A. Ćatić
7 X. Severina
Bench (12)
11 J. Zwarts
9 T. Verheydt
30 M. Sellouki
2 T. Asante
14 S. Esajas
1 H. Wentges
28 K. Nikiéma
26 J. Reinders
20 G. Siereveld
21 G. Breinburg
8 J. Wehrmann
35 R. Kishna

Coach: D. Kuijt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Perez · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.