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KNVB Beker

Referee: M Vos

FC Eindhoven

S T S T S

1–3

Full-time

Excelsior

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Eindhoven Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,0

5,2

Scored

1,8

2,8

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — KNVB Beker · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

7,0

3,0

Scored

7,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+7,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%

10 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Eindhoven 22. · Excelsior 39. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Noordwijk	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	ASWH	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Eemdijk	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	AFC Amsterdam	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Winterswijk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Rijnsburgse Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	SC Genemuiden	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Quick '20	3	2	0	1	+0	6
15	Hercules	3	2	0	1	-2	6
16	Rijnvogels	3	2	0	1	-2	6
17	Dovo	3	2	0	1	-2	6
18	Koninklijke HFC	3	2	0	1	-5	6
19	FC Lisse	3	1	1	1	+0	4
20	Kolping Boys	3	1	1	1	-3	4
21	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+8	3
22	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
23	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
30	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	MVV	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	ADO '20	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	RKAVV	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Vvsb	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Ajax Amateurs	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Achilles Veen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Hoek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	TEC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
59	Zwaluw VFC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
60	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
103	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
104	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
105	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	AFC Amsterdam	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	ASWH	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Noordwijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Rijnsburgse Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	ADO '20	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	MVV	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Eemdijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Winterswijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	SC Genemuiden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Dovo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
30	Hercules	2	1	0	1	-4	3
31	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-5	3
32	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Ajax Amateurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	RKAVV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Spakenburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Quick '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Kolping Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Kolping Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	ASWH	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	RKAVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Ajax Amateurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Capelle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-6	3
34	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
36	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Achilles Veen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	TEC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.