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Taça de Portugal

Caldas

U U S U T

4–0

Full-time

AD Portomosense

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caldas AD Portomosense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

1,8

8,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,7

7,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-6,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Peniche	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Ovarense	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Correlhã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Oriental Lisboa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Comércio Indústria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Castrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Vila Caíz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Nazarenos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Lajense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
68	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Peniche	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Ovarense	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Correlhã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Oriental Lisboa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Comércio Indústria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Castrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Vila Caíz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Nazarenos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Lajense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
33	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
34	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.