Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Pêro Pinheiro
Caldas
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
5,0
2,5
Scored
3,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,5
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Recent matches
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.