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Taça de Portugal
Lajense
T T S T T
1–7
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lajense Lusitano Évora 1911
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Peniche 1 1 0 0 +8 3
2 Ovarense 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Trofense 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Caldas 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Vianense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 O Elvas 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Moncarapachense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 FC Serpa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Naval 1893 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Salgueiros 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Gouveia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Vila Meã 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Rebordosa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Correlhã 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Vila Real 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Brito 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Oriental Lisboa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Amarante 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Machico 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Anadia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Mortágua 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Os Marialvas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Comércio Indústria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Monção 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Castrense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 1º Dezembro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 CF Os Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Vila Caíz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Espinho 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 AD Marco 09 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Celoricense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Nazarenos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Marinhense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Samora Correir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Charneca Caparica 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Olímpico do Montijo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Camacha 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Maria da Fonte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Alcochetense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Tirsense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Lagoa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 AR São Martinho 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Castro Daire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Carregal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Academica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Juventude Évora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Vilaverdense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Quarteirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Lajense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Amora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Florgrade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Cinfães 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Celeirós 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Sourense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Pontassolense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Beira-Mar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Aparecida GO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Leça 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Valpaços 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Valenciano 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Lusitânia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Viana Alentejo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Portel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Académico do Fundão 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Varzim 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 AD Portomosense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 SC Celoricense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
70 Ferreira Zêzere 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.