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Taça de Portugal

Lajense

S T T

2–1

Full-time

Fabril Barreiro

T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lajense Fabril Barreiro

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

4,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,7

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anadia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Maria da Fonte	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Arronches e Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Machico	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Estrela Vendas Novas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Operário	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Ferreira Zêzere	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Lagoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Academica	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Lusitânia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Aliança de Gandra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Régua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Moura	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Vieira	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Vianense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Leça	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	AD Marco 09	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Ovarense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Vila Real	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Joane	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	União de Coimbra	2	0	1	1	-2	1
53	Estarreja	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Dumiense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Cardielense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Oliveirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Maia Lidador	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	União Lamas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Velense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Lajense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Portel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Sacavenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Peniche	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Abrantes e Benfica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Pedras Salgadas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Vieirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Juventude Gaula	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Macedo Cavaleiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Resende	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Oliveira de Frades	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Ginásio Figueirense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Praia Milfontes	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Machico	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Vieira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Ferreira Zêzere	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Lagoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Academica	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Aliança de Gandra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Moura	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Vianense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
25	Leça	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	União de Coimbra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Ovarense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Vila Real	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Dumiense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Velense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Lajense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Peniche	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Abrantes e Benfica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Vieirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Oliveira de Frades	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Ginásio Figueirense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
48	Praia Milfontes	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Arronches e Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Estrela Vendas Novas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Operário	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Lusitânia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Régua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	AD Marco 09	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Joane	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Estarreja	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Cardielense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Oliveirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Maia Lidador	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	União Lamas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Portel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Sacavenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Vieira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Pedras Salgadas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Juventude Gaula	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Macedo Cavaleiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Resende	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.