Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lajense
1º Dezembro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Trofense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |
O Elvas
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |
Salgueiros
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Rebordosa
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |
Vila Real
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Machico
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
CF Os Belenenses
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Vila Caíz
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Camacha
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 |
Lagoa
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |
AR São Martinho
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Amora
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Ribeira Brava
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Pontassolense
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Leça
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |
Lusitânia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |
Varzim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Amarante
Lajense
Lajense
Fabril Barreiro
Lajense
Maria da Fonte
Lajense
Moreirense
Lajense
São Roque (Açores)
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.