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DBU Pokalen
Referee: F Iriskic
1–5
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +18 3
2 B 93 1 1 0 0 +16 3
3 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +7 3
4 FA 2000 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 VRI 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 FC Helsingor 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Kolding B 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Skjold Sæby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Viby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Ringsted 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Lyseng 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Dalum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Bagsværd 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 HB Koge 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Gørslev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Thisted FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Taastrup 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Skjold Birkerød 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 HIK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Skive 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Ringkøbing 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 B 1908 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 B 1909 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Fjordager 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Glostrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Amager FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Greve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
38 OKS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
44 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
45 Bispebjerg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
46 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -4 0
47 Varde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
48 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
49 Højslev IF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
50 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
51 BSF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
52 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -7 0
53 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -16 0
54 Avrasya 1 0 0 1 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Morud/Veflinge Næsby
13′
K. Høst 0–1
1–1 A. Nørgaard Pedersen
40′
Half-time 1–1
O. Kristensen 🔁
↦ R. Rasmussen
46′
46′
🔁 J. Skytte
↦ L. Dauerhøj
46′
🔁 R. Rasmussen
↦ C. Floyd
47′
L. Larsen 1–2
54′
R. Rasmussen 1–3
60′
🔁 K. Nyegaard
↦ A. Hother
A. Egetoft Pedersen 🔁
↦ M. Rosenqvist Skov
67′
72′
🔁 R. Nissen
↦ K. Høst
79′
R. Nissen 1–4
81′
🔁 P. Stoustrup
↦ K. Hvidtfeldt
S. Knudsen 🔁
↦ A. Jørgensen
84′
N. Luccas Esbensen 🔁
↦ A. Nørgaard Pedersen
84′
86′
R. Nissen 1–5
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Morud/Veflinge

2 O. Madsen
3 H. Pedersen Christensen
4 K. Kaspersen
5 V. Birkholm
7 P. Birkholm
8 M. Baunkjær
9 M. Rosenqvist Skov
1 R. Rasmussen
15 J. Hvitfeldt
10 A. Jørgensen
23 A. Nørgaard Pedersen
Bench (5)
16 O. Kristensen
11 A. Egetoft Pedersen
12 S. Knudsen
21 N. Luccas Esbensen
13 M. Boesen

Coach: K. Nicolaisen

Næsby

14 K. Jørgensen
13 L. Dauerhøj
3 O. Gaarn
5 M. Ladefoged
8 L. Larsen
18 A. Hother
12 C. Floyd
20 K. Hvidtfeldt
10 K. Høst
4 M. Uhd
21 B. Breitenstein
Bench (9)
16 J. Skytte
7 R. Rasmussen
19 K. Nyegaard
9 R. Nissen
11 P. Stoustrup
1 P. Gejl
6 M. Stangerup
15 R. Espersen
17 J. Harboe

Coach: C. Madsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.