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League Cup

Referee: G Ward

Burton Albion

T T S S T

0–2

Full-time

Leicester

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burton Albion Leicester

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

25% Possession 75%

7 Shots 13

0 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Reading	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Newport County	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Gillingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Mansfield Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Port Vale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Doncaster	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Exeter City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Colchester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Sutton Utd	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Cambridge United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Crewe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Sheffield Weds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Peterborough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Swindon Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Stevenage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Wrexham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Walsall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Fleetwood Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Shrewsbury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Barrow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Forest Green	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Notts County	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Newport County	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Gillingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Mansfield Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Port Vale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Exeter City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Sutton Utd	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Sheffield Weds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Peterborough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Stevenage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Wrexham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Forest Green	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Notts County	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Doncaster	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Colchester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cambridge United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Crewe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Swindon Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Walsall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Fleetwood Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Shrewsbury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Barrow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.