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Svenska Cupen

Referee: T Olofsson

IFK Luleå

S S T

0–1

Full-time

Malmo FF

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

IFK Luleå Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

5,5

Scored

1,0

5,5

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+5,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match IFK Luleå 20. · Malmo FF 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Djurgarden	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	Sirius	3	3	0	0	+9	9
4	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Kalmar	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Halmstad	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+4	9
8	GAIS	4	3	0	1	+3	9
9	AIK	3	2	1	0	+5	7
10	Vasteras SK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
11	Norrkoping	3	2	1	0	+3	7
12	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+11	6
13	Helsingborg	3	2	0	1	+9	6
14	Degerfors	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	Trelleborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
16	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
17	Varberg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
18	IK brage	3	2	0	1	+1	6
19	Orebro SK	3	2	0	1	+1	6
20	IFK Luleå	3	2	0	1	+0	6
21	Landskrona	3	2	0	1	-1	6
22	Oskarshamns AIK	4	2	0	2	-1	6
23	Trollhättan	4	2	0	2	-3	6
24	Onsala	4	2	0	2	-5	6
25	Sundsvall	3	1	1	1	+1	4
26	Utsikten	3	1	1	1	+0	4
27	Norrby IF	3	1	1	1	-2	4
28	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
29	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	+4	3
30	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+3	3
31	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Österlen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Vasalund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Brommapojkarna	3	1	0	2	+0	3
36	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Lund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Dalkurd FF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
48	Ljungskile SK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Ostersunds FK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
54	Jonkopings Sodra	3	1	0	2	-4	3
55	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
56	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Haninge	2	0	1	1	-2	1
60	Täby	2	0	1	1	-2	1
61	Sleipner	2	0	1	1	-2	1
62	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	GAIS	3	2	0	1	+2	6
2	IFK Luleå	3	2	0	1	+0	6
3	Trollhättan	4	2	0	2	-3	6
4	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
5	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Varberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
22	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Oskarshamns AIK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
24	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
25	Onsala	3	1	0	2	-6	3
26	Norrkoping	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Sundsvall	2	0	1	1	-2	1
32	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Orebro SK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Brommapojkarna	2	0	0	2	-2	0
43	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Sleipner	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Österlen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Norrby IF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Ljungskile SK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vasteras SK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Helsingborg	2	2	0	0	+11	6
3	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	AIK	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Kalmar	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Degerfors	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Trelleborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Orebro SK	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	IK brage	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	Landskrona	3	2	0	1	-1	6
17	Norrby IF	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Utsikten	3	1	1	1	+0	4
19	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+9	3
20	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+5	3
21	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Österlen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Sundsvall	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ljungskile SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Vasalund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Oskarshamns AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	IFK Östersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Onsala	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Dalkurd FF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
43	Jonkopings Sodra	3	1	0	2	-4	3
44	Täby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Sleipner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
63	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.