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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Mota

Sp Lisbon

S T U S S

2–0

Full-time

Estoril

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

2,5

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 46%

62%

29%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

76%

29%

Both score Ø 43%

48%

38%

Average goals

3,1

2,3

Scored

2,0

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

17 Shots 3

8 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

14 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 4. · Estoril 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	22	19	2	1	+43	59
2	Porto	22	16	3	3	+35	51
3	Sp Braga	21	16	1	4	+27	49
4	Sp Lisbon	21	13	2	6	+20	41
5	Guimaraes	21	10	4	7	-1	34
6	Arouca	22	9	6	7	-5	33
7	Casa Pia	22	9	5	8	-4	32
8	Boavista	22	8	5	9	-8	29
9	Rio Ave	22	7	6	9	-4	27
10	Famalicao	22	8	3	11	-7	27
11	Vizela	22	7	5	10	+0	26
12	Gil Vicente	22	7	5	10	-6	26
13	Chaves	22	6	8	8	-7	26
14	Portimonense	22	8	2	12	-10	26
15	Estoril	21	6	4	11	-10	22
16	Maritimo	22	4	4	14	-23	16
17	Santa Clara	22	3	6	13	-16	15
18	Pacos Ferreira	22	3	3	16	-24	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	11	10	1	0	+26	31
2	Porto	11	9	0	2	+25	27
3	Sp Lisbon	10	8	0	2	+20	24
4	Guimaraes	11	7	2	2	+5	23
5	Sp Braga	10	7	1	2	+15	22
6	Arouca	12	7	1	4	+3	22
7	Rio Ave	11	6	1	4	+4	19
8	Famalicao	11	6	1	4	+3	19
9	Boavista	11	5	4	2	+0	19
10	Portimonense	11	5	2	4	+0	17
11	Casa Pia	11	4	3	4	+0	15
12	Vizela	11	4	2	5	+3	14
13	Gil Vicente	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Chaves	10	2	5	3	-1	11
15	Maritimo	11	3	2	6	-3	11
16	Estoril	10	3	2	5	-6	11
17	Santa Clara	11	2	4	5	-8	10
18	Pacos Ferreira	12	1	2	9	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	11	9	1	1	+17	28
2	Sp Braga	11	9	0	2	+12	27
3	Porto	11	7	3	1	+10	24
4	Sp Lisbon	11	5	2	4	+0	17
5	Casa Pia	11	5	2	4	-4	17
6	Chaves	12	4	3	5	-6	15
7	Gil Vicente	11	4	1	6	-4	13
8	Vizela	11	3	3	5	-3	12
9	Estoril	11	3	2	6	-4	11
10	Guimaraes	10	3	2	5	-6	11
11	Arouca	10	2	5	3	-8	11
12	Boavista	11	3	1	7	-8	10
13	Portimonense	11	3	0	8	-10	9
14	Rio Ave	11	1	5	5	-8	8
15	Famalicao	11	2	2	7	-10	8
16	Pacos Ferreira	10	2	1	7	-9	7
17	Santa Clara	11	1	2	8	-8	5
18	Maritimo	11	1	2	8	-20	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.