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Svenska Cupen

Referee: E Mattsson

IFK Luleå

S S

0–2

Full-time

Degerfors

U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

IFK Luleå Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

1,5

3,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match IFK Luleå 8. · Degerfors 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Helsingborg	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Varberg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Oskarshamns AIK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Trollhättan	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	IFK Luleå	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Onsala	3	2	0	1	-2	6
10	AIK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Vasteras SK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+9	3
13	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
14	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	+4	3
15	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sundsvall	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	IK brage	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Österlen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Vasalund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Utsikten	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Norrby IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Lund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Ljungskile SK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Jonkopings Sodra	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
56	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Haninge	2	0	1	1	-2	1
60	Täby	2	0	1	1	-2	1
61	Sleipner	2	0	1	1	-2	1
62	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trollhättan	3	2	0	1	+2	6
2	IFK Luleå	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
4	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Oskarshamns AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Onsala	2	1	0	1	-3	3
17	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
18	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Sleipner	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Österlen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Ljungskile SK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
54	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Helsingborg	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Vasteras SK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+9	3
5	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Österlen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sundsvall	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Ljungskile SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Vasalund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Oskarshamns AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	IFK Östersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	IK brage	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Onsala	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Utsikten	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Norrby IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Jonkopings Sodra	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Täby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Sleipner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
63	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

IFK Luleå Degerfors

32′

🔁 O. Wallin

↦ G. Granath

Half-time 0–1

47′

⚽ O. Wallin 0–1

54′

⚽ D. Pavlović 0–2

V. Hugoson 🔁

↦ H. Bergman

56′

J. S. Richards 🟨

70′

E. Bandh 🔁

↦ J. Vleugels

70′

72′

🔁 A. Mammar

↦ D. Pavlović

72′

🔁 E. Lindell

↦ J. Gyau

72′

🔁 J. Salmon

↦ E. Bouzaiene

A. Lidman 🔁

↦ Luís Canina

79′

🔁 G. Lindgren

↦ D. Vukojević

E. Bandh 🟨

90′

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

IFK Luleå

R. Aspholm

J. Johansson-Inga

J. Vleugels

W. Olausson

T. Johnson

R. Lindroth

J. Richards

H. Drugge

H. Bergman

Luís Canina

Kenedy Santos

Bench (7)

V. Hugoson

E. Bandh

A. Lidman

E. von Feilitzen

J. Alatalo

S. Albag

V. Drugge

Coach: B. Hanley

Degerfors

S. Rossbach

G. Granath

S. Korač

S. Ohlsson

J. Gyau

R. Örqvist

C. Gravius

D. Campos

E. Bouzaiene

D. Pavlović

D. Vukojević

Bench (7)

O. Wallin

A. Mammar

E. Lindell

J. Salmon

G. Lindgren

J. Olsson

S. Sabetkar

Coach: A. Holmberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

31. Aug CUP 4 years ago

3. Jul CUP 4 years ago

Referee

E Mattsson · 11 kamper i vår database

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

IFK Luleå

Degerfors

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee