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Svenska Cupen
Referee: R Sundell
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

IF Karlstad Ostersunds FK
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 46%
67%
25%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 29%
33%
25%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 IFK Luleå 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Falkenbergs FF 1 1 0 0 +11 3
3 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 +5 3
4 Olympic 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Brommapojkarna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Djurgarden 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Jönköpings BK 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Landskrona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Vasteras SK 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 United Nordic 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 AIK 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Helsingborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Smedby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Degerfors 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 IFK Österåker 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 IF Karlstad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Karlshamn 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 Lucksta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Husqvarna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Berga 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 Stocksund 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Jonsered 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Hammarby 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Utsikten 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 GAIS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Kalmar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Stockholm Internazionale 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Varnamo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 IFK Hässleholm 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Zenith 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Tyresö W 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Gefle IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Lund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Dalstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
39 Dalkurd FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
40 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
41 Rosengård 2 1 0 1 -2 3
42 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 -3 3
43 Skellefteå 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Haninge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Rågsved 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Franke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Järfälla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Katrineholms SK 2 0 1 1 -3 1
49 Roslagsbro 2 0 1 1 -5 1
50 Ahlafors 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 FBK Karlstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Oddevold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Höllviken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 IFK Östersund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Gute 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Åsarp-Trädet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Göteborgs FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Täby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Torstorps 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Oskarshamns AIK 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Skå IK Bygdegård 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Högsäter 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Lindsdal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Hemgårdarnas 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
76 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -6 0
77 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -7 0
78 Torestorp-Älekulla 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

IF Karlstad Ostersunds FK
1–0 H. van Schaik
3′
19′
S. Marklund 1–1
Half-time 1–1
H. Cederin 🔁
↦ Moustafa Benshi
46′
75′
🔁 A. Österholm
↦ A. Nader
75′
🔁 M. Musolitin
↦ M. Stolt
75′
🔁 M. Sinyan
↦ Erick Brendon
Y. Takuto 🔁
↦ C. Marigliano
83′
85′
C. Kabuye 1–2
S. Nielsen 🔁
↦ O. Kihlgren
87′
90′
🔁 C. Weilid
↦ S. Marklund
93′
🔁 M. Mazur
↦ Y. Adjoumani
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

IF Karlstad

M. Karlsson
J. Ericsson
H. van Schaik
E. Forsberg
C. Marigliano
A. Beqiri
O. Kihlgren
E. Björndahl
A. Bellander
D. Johannesson
Moustafa Benshi
Bench (7)
H. Cederin
Y. Takuto
S. Nielsen
I. Berisha
I. Habib
L. Sten
S. Graasvoll

Coach: K. Jonevret

Ostersunds FK

A. Keita
T. Rask
J. Hedenquist
Z. Ghanoum
Erick Brendon
S. Marklund
A. Nader
A. Sporrong
Y. Adjoumani
M. Stolt
C. Kabuye
Bench (7)
A. Österholm
M. Musolitin
M. Sinyan
C. Weilid
M. Mazur
A. Mills
K. Jablinski

Coach: M. Powell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Sundell · 40 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.