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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Lien
Kongsvinger
U T S S U
1–2
Full-time
Fredrikstad
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 58%
63%
53%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
68%
37%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
3,1
2,1
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 2. · Fredrikstad 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredrikstad 19 10 8 1 +15 38
2 Kongsvinger 19 12 2 5 +12 38
3 KFUM Oslo 19 10 4 5 +8 34
4 Sogndal 18 9 4 5 +6 31
5 Start 19 8 6 5 +12 30
6 Kristiansund 17 7 5 5 +4 26
7 Moss 19 7 5 7 -2 26
8 Ranheim 19 8 2 9 -13 26
9 Raufoss 19 7 4 8 +0 25
10 Jerv 19 7 4 8 -6 25
11 Sandnes ULF 18 6 5 7 +7 23
12 Bryne 18 6 4 8 -2 22
13 Mjondalen 19 6 3 10 -6 21
14 Asane 19 3 8 8 -6 17
15 hodd 18 4 5 9 -7 17
16 Skeid 19 2 5 12 -22 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Fredrikstad
24′
🔁 A. Konte
↦ S. Sørløkk
26′
🟨 A. Konte
Half-time 0–0
A. Güven 🔁
↦ J. Holtan
46′
46′
🔁 B. Skaret
↦ P. Aukland
53′
🔁 O. Aga
↦ R. Alba
53′
P. Metcalfe 0–1
56′
J. Bjartalíð 0–2
H. Holter 🟨
60′
L. Langrekken 🔁
↦ E. Myrlid
62′
J. Grundt 🔁
↦ V. Moberg
63′
V. Grodås 🔁
↦ M. Andersen
72′
75′
🔁 H. Åsheim
↦ B. Hendriksson
76′
🔁 M. Lassen
↦ S. Molde
1–2 J. Grundt
81′
L. Langrekken 🟨
85′
E. Taylor 🔁
↦ M. Hellan
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

1 A. Strömberg
10 L. Gerson
12 M. Haakenstad
5 F. Holmé
16 M. Hellan
8 V. Moberg
6 H. Holter
23 M. Vinjor
11 M. Andersen
18 J. Holtan
26 E. Myrlid
Bench (9)
9 A. Güven
22 L. Langrekken
20 J. Grundt
3 V. Grodås
7 E. Taylor
19 K. Jahr
21 D. Lysgård
31 A. Smedplass
14 M. Haga

Coach: V. Hansen

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
26 M. Nielsen
6 P. Aukland
22 M. Woledzi
7 B. Hendriksson
14 J. Bjartalíð
19 J. Magnússon
12 P. Metcalfe
11 R. Alba
13 S. Sørløkk
Bench (9)
16 A. Konte
3 B. Skaret
29 O. Aga
20 H. Åsheim
27 M. Lassen
2 T. Björkström
9 H. Johansen
18 L. Begby
25 O. Langbråten

Coach: M. Thomassen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.