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Svenska Cupen

Referee: T Olofsson

Vasteras SK

S U S

2–2

Full-time

Ostersunds FK

S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vasteras SK Ostersunds FK

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

2,0

0,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

2,0

0,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Vasteras SK 17. · Ostersunds FK 53. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Malmo FF	4	4	0	0	+13	12
3	Hacken	4	4	0	0	+12	12
4	Djurgarden	4	4	0	0	+10	12
5	Kalmar	4	4	0	0	+9	12
6	Mjallby	4	4	0	0	+5	12
7	GAIS	5	4	0	1	+5	12
8	Norrkoping	4	3	1	0	+7	10
9	Sirius	4	3	0	1	+8	9
10	IK brage	4	3	0	1	+6	9
11	Halmstad	4	3	0	1	+5	9
12	Trelleborg	4	3	0	1	+4	9
13	Degerfors	4	3	0	1	+4	9
14	Orebro SK	4	3	0	1	+3	9
15	Trollhättan	5	3	0	2	-2	9
16	AIK	3	2	1	0	+5	7
17	Vasteras SK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
18	Helsingborg	4	2	0	2	+6	6
19	Varberg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
20	Dalkurd FF	4	2	0	2	+1	6
21	Skövde AIK	4	2	0	2	+1	6
22	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
23	Landskrona	4	2	0	2	-3	6
24	IFK Luleå	5	2	0	3	-3	6
25	Oskarshamns AIK	5	2	0	3	-4	6
26	Onsala	5	2	0	3	-6	6
27	Utsikten	4	1	1	2	-2	4
28	Sundsvall	4	1	1	2	-7	4
29	Norrby IF	4	1	1	2	-7	4
30	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
31	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	+4	3
32	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+3	3
33	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Österlen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Vasalund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Lund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Brommapojkarna	4	1	0	3	-1	3
44	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Ljungskile SK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Ostersunds FK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
54	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
55	Jonkopings Sodra	4	1	0	3	-5	3
56	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Haninge	2	0	1	1	-2	1
60	Täby	2	0	1	1	-2	1
61	Sleipner	2	0	1	1	-2	1
62	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Kalmar	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	GAIS	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	IFK Luleå	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Trollhättan	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Västra Frölunda	2	1	0	1	+5	3
11	IK brage	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Älmhults	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Gauthiod	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Varberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Torns	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	Enköping	2	1	0	1	-2	3
26	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-2	3
27	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
28	Oskarshamns AIK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
29	Brålanda	2	1	0	1	-5	3
30	Onsala	3	1	0	2	-6	3
31	Norrkoping	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Arlanda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Gute	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Eneby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Sundsvall	2	0	1	1	-2	1
37	Ullared	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Skiljebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Friska Viljor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Orebro SK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Lund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Brommapojkarna	2	0	0	2	-2	0
49	Lidingö	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Angered BK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Lucksta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Landskrona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Sleipner	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Österlen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Norrby IF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Ljungskile SK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Nordvärmland	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Angelholms FF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
77	Trosa-Vagnhärad SK	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Orebro SK	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Vasteras SK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+10	6
5	Helsingborg	3	2	0	1	+8	6
6	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	AIK	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Kalmar	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Sirius	3	2	0	1	+4	6
10	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Trelleborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	Degerfors	3	2	0	1	+3	6
14	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	+3	6
15	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	IK brage	3	2	0	1	+1	6
18	Landskrona	3	2	0	1	-1	6
19	Utsikten	3	1	1	1	+0	4
20	Norrby IF	3	1	1	1	-4	4
21	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	Österlen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ljungskile SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Vasalund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	IFK Östersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Hudiksvall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Onsala	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Oskarshamns AIK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	-1	3
42	Dalkurd FF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
43	Jonkopings Sodra	3	1	0	2	-4	3
44	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	-5	3
45	Täby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Sleipner	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Asarum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Umeå FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Motala	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vänersborgs FK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Orgryte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	IFK Luleå	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Lidköping	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
65	Assyriska Turabdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.