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Svenska Cupen
Orgryte
S S S U U
0–3
Full-time
Mjallby
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Orgryte Mjallby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Orgryte 20. · Mjallby 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sirius 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Hacken 2 2 0 0 +9 6
3 GAIS 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Norrkoping 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Elfsborg 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Hammarby 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Brommapojkarna 2 2 0 0 +5 6
8 IF Karlstad 3 2 0 1 +4 6
9 Degerfors 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Halmstad 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Falkenbergs FF 2 2 0 0 +4 6
12 Mjallby 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Vasteras SK 2 2 0 0 +3 6
14 Malmo FF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 IFK Skövde 3 2 0 1 +1 6
16 Oster 2 1 1 0 +4 4
17 Goteborg 2 1 1 0 +4 4
18 Varnamo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
19 Orebro SK 2 1 1 0 +2 4
20 Orgryte 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Täby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
22 AIK 2 1 0 1 +5 3
23 Oddevold 2 1 0 1 +5 3
24 Karlberg 2 1 0 1 +4 3
25 Kalmar 2 1 0 1 +3 3
26 Lund 2 1 0 1 +2 3
27 Kubikenborg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
28 Olympic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Järfälla 2 1 0 1 +1 3
30 Onsala 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Enköping 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Djurgarden 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Eskilsminne 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Assyriska FF 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Zenith 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Haninge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Sölvesborg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Öckerö 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Varberg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Lödde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Piteå 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 IK brage 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Landskrona 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Syrianska FC 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Myresjö / Vetlanda 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Torstorps 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Trelleborg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Viggbyholms IK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Korsnäs 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Räppe 2 1 0 1 -3 3
53 Sylvia 2 1 0 1 -3 3
54 Qviding FIF 2 1 0 1 -3 3
55 Helsingborg 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 Sundsvall 2 1 0 1 -4 3
57 Nässjö 2 1 0 1 -5 3
58 FBK Karlstad 2 1 0 1 -5 3
59 Ostersunds FK 2 0 2 0 +0 2
60 Friska Viljor 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Högaborg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Torslanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Vänersborgs FK 2 0 1 1 -1 1
64 Centern 2 0 1 1 -2 1
65 Hudiksvall 2 0 1 1 -7 1
66 Rosengård 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Utsikten 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Gute 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Gimo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Ursvik 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Hjulsbro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Farsta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Stenungsund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Gefle IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Kristianstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Karlslund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Berga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Laholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Trollhättan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Arameiska / Syrianska 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Västboås 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Dvärsätt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Jönköping Torpa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Eslov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 IFK Tidaholm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Franke 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Viken 1 0 0 1 -4 0
96 Stocksund 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Orgryte Mjallby
22′
J. Kjaer 0–1
O. Parker-Price 🟨
31′
43′
🟨 T. Miettinen
Half-time 0–1
H. Dahlqvist 🔁
↦ W. Svensson
56′
62′
J. Azulay 1–1
own goal
63′
🔁 V. Gustafson
↦ J. Kjaer
63′
🔁 B. Bang-Kittilsen
↦ L. Thorell
R. Alm 🔁
↦ W. Hofvander
71′
C. Vindehall 🔁
↦ O. Parker-Price
72′
J. Tibbling 🔁
↦ N. Christoffersson
72′
75′
🔁 T. Stavitski
↦ T. Miettinen
76′
🔁 C. Tchouante
↦ V. Granath
R. Alm 🟨
80′
M. Ebietomere 🔁
↦ T. Sana
80′
83′
🔁 R. Arrhenius
↦ A. Samuelsen
88′
R. Arrhenius 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Orgryte

44 H. Gustafsson
3 J. Azulay
6 M. Dyrestam
2 M. Parker
24 W. Svensson
23 O. Parker-Price
8 B. Laturnus
14 D. Paulson
22 T. Sana
11 N. Christoffersson
17 W. Hofvander
Bench (9)
30 M. Nilsson
7 C. Vindehall
10 R. Alm
15 J. Tibbling
16 H. Dahlqvist
19 A. Andreasson
21 W. Kenndal
29 M. Ebietomere
33 S. Lagerlund

Coach: Andreas Holmberg

Mjallby

13 R. Wallinder
4 A. Noren
6 L. Thorell
10 J. Kjaer
14 V. Granath
17 E. Stroud
18 J. Bergstrom
22 J. Gustavsson
23 A. Samuelsen
27 L. Tidstrand
33 T. Miettinen
Bench (9)
35 A. Lundin
2 L. Svanberg
3 C. Tchouante
7 V. Gustafson
8 T. Helge
11 T. Stavitski
15 B. Bang-Kittilsen
21 I. Adewale
39 R. Arrhenius

Coach: Karl Aksum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.