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Süper Lig

Referee: A Yilmaz

Trabzonspor

S U S T S

3–1

Full-time

Karagumruk

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 37%

61%

13%

Points per game

2,1

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

57%

48%

Both score Ø 57%

65%

48%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

2,0

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,70 xG 0,70

63% Possession 37%

13 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Trabzonspor 3. · Karagumruk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	23	17	4	2	+38	+24.9	55
2	Fenerbahce	23	15	8	0	+31	+26.0	53
3	Trabzonspor	23	14	6	3	+18	+4.7	48
4	Besiktas	23	12	7	4	+15	+22.1	43
5	Goztep	23	11	8	4	+11	+0.9	41
6	Buyuksehyr	23	10	6	7	+14	+7.0	36
7	Samsunspor	23	7	10	6	-2	+5.8	31
8	Kocaelispor	23	8	6	9	-3	-0.4	30
9	Gaziantep	23	7	7	9	-10	-3.7	28
10	Alanyaspor	23	5	11	7	-2	-7.5	26
11	Rizespor	23	5	9	9	-7	-1.6	24
12	Genclerbirligi	23	6	5	12	-6	-10.5	23
13	Konyaspor	23	5	8	10	-8	-4.7	23
14	Antalyaspor	23	6	5	12	-14	-16.3	23
15	Eyüpspor	23	5	6	12	-16	-13.5	21
16	Kasimpasa	23	4	8	11	-12	-9.5	20
17	Kayserispor	23	3	10	10	-25	-11.9	19
18	Karagumruk	23	3	4	16	-22	-11.7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	9	3	0	+22	+16.3	30
2	Fenerbahce	11	7	4	0	+14	+18.3	25
3	Besiktas	12	7	3	2	+9	+13.3	24
4	Trabzonspor	11	6	4	1	+10	+6.3	22
5	Goztep	11	6	4	1	+9	+2.7	22
6	Kocaelispor	12	6	3	3	+5	+7.5	21
7	Genclerbirligi	11	5	3	3	+3	+2.2	18
8	Alanyaspor	12	4	3	5	+0	-3.2	15
9	Gaziantep	12	4	3	5	-5	+3.3	15
10	Buyuksehyr	11	3	5	3	+3	+0.6	14
11	Konyaspor	12	3	5	4	+0	+2.6	14
12	Samsunspor	11	3	5	3	-3	+4.7	14
13	Rizespor	12	4	2	6	-5	+3.4	14
14	Eyüpspor	12	3	4	5	-6	-3.9	13
15	Antalyaspor	11	3	2	6	-10	-5.4	11
16	Karagumruk	12	2	3	7	-9	-2.4	9
17	Kayserispor	11	2	3	6	-15	-2.9	9
18	Kasimpasa	11	1	5	5	-6	-0.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	12	8	4	0	+17	+7.7	28
2	Trabzonspor	12	8	2	2	+8	-1.7	26
3	Galatasaray	11	8	1	2	+16	+8.5	25
4	Buyuksehyr	12	7	1	4	+11	+6.4	22
5	Besiktas	11	5	4	2	+6	+8.8	19
6	Goztep	12	5	4	3	+2	-1.9	19
7	Samsunspor	12	4	5	3	+1	+1.0	17
8	Gaziantep	11	3	4	4	-5	-7.0	13
9	Antalyaspor	12	3	3	6	-4	-10.9	12
10	Kasimpasa	12	3	3	6	-6	-9.4	12
11	Alanyaspor	11	1	8	2	-2	-4.3	11
12	Rizespor	11	1	7	3	-2	-5.0	10
13	Kayserispor	12	1	7	4	-10	-9.0	10
14	Konyaspor	11	2	3	6	-8	-7.2	9
15	Kocaelispor	11	2	3	6	-8	-7.8	9
16	Eyüpspor	11	2	2	7	-10	-9.5	8
17	Genclerbirligi	12	1	2	9	-9	-12.8	5
18	Karagumruk	11	1	1	9	-13	-9.3	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.