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Puchar Polski
Referee: D Kos
0–3
Full-time
Legia
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Zielona Góra Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
This season — Puchar Polski · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lechia Zielona Góra 8. · Legia 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pogoń Siedlce 4 4 0 0 +6 12
2 Motor Lublin 4 4 0 0 +6 12
3 Kalisz 4 2 2 0 +6 8
4 Slask Wroclaw 3 2 1 0 +6 7
5 Radomiak Radom 3 2 1 0 +5 7
6 Legia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 3 2 1 0 +3 7
8 Lechia Zielona Góra 3 2 1 0 +3 7
9 Gornik Zabrze 3 2 1 0 +2 7
10 Górnik Łęczna 3 2 1 0 +2 7
11 Piast Gliwice 3 2 0 1 +3 6
12 Rakow 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Resovia Rzeszów 3 2 0 1 +1 6
14 Radunia Stężyca 3 2 0 1 +0 6
15 Wisla 3 1 1 1 +4 4
16 Lechia Gdansk 2 1 1 0 +3 4
17 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 2 1 1 0 +3 4
18 Puszcza 2 1 1 0 +1 4
19 Olimpia Elbląg 3 1 1 1 +1 4
20 Stal Rzeszów 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +3 3
22 Cracovia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Jastrzębie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 GKS Katowice 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Ruch Chorzow 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Chrobry Głogów 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Wisla Plock 2 1 0 1 -1 3
31 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 Widzew Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 LKS Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Garbarnia Kraków 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Arka Gdynia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Pogon Szczecin 2 0 1 1 -1 1
38 Korona Kielce 2 0 1 1 -1 1
39 Stal Mielec 2 0 1 1 -3 1
40 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Podbeskidzie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Wikielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Lechia Dzierżoniów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Łagów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Sokół Ostróda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Chełmianka Chełm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Radomsko 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Bałtyk Gdynia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 Start Jełowa 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lechia Zielona Góra Legia
6′
🟨 M. Nawrocki
8′
T. Pekhart 0–1
P. Mycan 🟨
38′
43′
B. Kapustka 0–2
M. Loboda 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
59′
🔁 Carlitos
↦ R. Pich
A. Athenstadt 🔁
↦ K. Zając
66′
71′
Carlitos 0–3
V. Shved 🔁
↦ M. Surożyński
75′
Ł. Maćkowiak 🔁
↦ J. Malec
75′
R. Ostrowski 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 M. Rosołek
↦ T. Pekhart
78′
🔁 P. Sokołowski
↦ I. Strzałek
J. Kołodenny 🔁
↦ P. Mycan
81′
K. Staśkiewicz 🔁
↦ Y. Mwinyi
81′
84′
🔁 J. Çelhaka
↦ B. Kapustka
84′
🔁 M. Baku
↦ P. Wszołek
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Lechia Zielona Góra

W. Fabisiak
R. Ostrowski
K. Lechowicz
J. Malec
M. Surożyński
M. Loboda
M. Zientarski
K. Zając
I. Kurowski
P. Mycan
Y. Mwinyi
Bench (8)
A. Athenstadt
V. Shved
Ł. Maćkowiak
J. Kołodenny
K. Staśkiewicz
K. Sitko
S. Słodki
J. Guder

Coach: A. Sawicki

Legia

D. Hładun
F. Mladenović
Yuri Ribeiro
M. Nawrocki
R. Pich
P. Wszołek
R. Augustyniak
B. Kapustka
B. Slisz
I. Strzałek
T. Pekhart
Bench (9)
Carlitos
M. Rosołek
P. Sokołowski
J. Çelhaka
M. Baku
A. Jędrzejczyk
E. Muçi
F. Rejczyk
J. Trojanowski

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Kos · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.