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Puchar Polski

Referee: L Lewandowski

Lechia Zielona Góra

S S

0–0

Full-time

Radomiak Radom

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Zielona Góra Radomiak Radom

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

This season — Puchar Polski · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

2,5

3,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lechia Zielona Góra 11. · Radomiak Radom 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Motor Lublin	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Pogoń Siedlce	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Kalisz	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Slask Wroclaw	3	2	1	0	+6	7
5	Legia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Górnik Łęczna	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Radomiak Radom	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Piast Gliwice	3	2	0	1	+3	6
11	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Resovia Rzeszów	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Rakow	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Radunia Stężyca	3	2	0	1	+0	6
15	Wisla	3	1	1	1	+4	4
16	Lechia Gdansk	2	1	1	0	+3	4
17	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2	1	1	0	+3	4
18	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Olimpia Elbląg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
20	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+3	3
22	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Chrobry Głogów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Wisla Plock	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	LKS Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Pogon Szczecin	2	0	1	1	-1	1
38	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
39	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-3	1
40	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Lechia Dzierżoniów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Motor Lublin	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Pogoń Siedlce	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Resovia Rzeszów	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Górnik Łęczna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Kalisz	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	LKS Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Wisla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Lechia Dzierżoniów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Legia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Radomiak Radom	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Piast Gliwice	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Rakow	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Olimpia Elbląg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Wisla	2	1	0	1	+4	3
10	Kalisz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+3	3
12	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Chrobry Głogów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lechia Zielona Góra Radomiak Radom

11′

🟨 R. Rossi

J. Babij 🟨

19′

R. Dzidek 🟨

41′

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 D. Jakubik

↦ Pedro Justiniano

46′

🔁 D. Pawłowski

↦ R. Alves

46′

🔁 Leândro

↦ Lisandro Semedo

59′

🟨 Leandro

K. Zając 🔁

↦ R. Dzidek

62′

67′

🔁 M. Feliks

↦ Luís Machado

Ł. Maćkowiak 🔁

↦ M. Zientarski

84′

K. Lechowicz 🟨

95′

A. Athenstadt 🔁

↦ K. Lechowicz

101′

109′

🔁 D. Łukasik

↦ Tiago Matos

J. Babij 🟨

111′

J. Babij 🟥

111′

Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lechia Zielona Góra

W. Fabisiak

S. Górski

R. Ostrowski

K. Lechowicz

Gabriel Estigarribia

M. Surożyński

J. Babij

M. Loboda

M. Zientarski

R. Dzidek

P. Mycan

Bench (9)

K. Zając

Ł. Maćkowiak

A. Athenstadt

B. Żurawski

J. Malec

K. Sitko

K. Staśkiewicz

S. Słodki

J. Kołodenny

Coach: A. Sawicki

Radomiak Radom

G. Kobylak

D. Abramowicz

M. Cichocki

Raphael Rossi

Pedro Justiniano

Luís Machado

Filipe Nascimento

Lisandro Semedo

R. Alves

Tiago Matos

Maurides

Bench (9)

D. Jakubik

D. Pawłowski

Leândro

M. Feliks

D. Łukasik

J. Nowakowski

J. Ojrzyński

N. Korzeniecki

D. Sokół

Coach: M. Lewandowski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

12. Oct CUP 3 years ago

30. Aug CUP 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Lechia Zielona Góra

Radomiak Radom

Odds comparison

Recent matches