Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Puchar Polski

Referee: K Arys

Lechia Zielona Góra

3–1

Full-time

Jagiellonia

U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Lechia Zielona Góra Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

The table before the match Lechia Zielona Góra 22. · Jagiellonia 27. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Motor Lublin	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Pogoń Siedlce	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Radunia Stężyca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Kalisz	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Olimpia Elbląg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Chrobry Głogów	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	LKS Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Lechia Dzierżoniów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Kalisz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	LKS Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Lechia Dzierżoniów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
32	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
33	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Elbląg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Kalisz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Chrobry Głogów	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lechia Zielona Góra Jagiellonia

1–0 P. Mycan ⚽

9′

2–0 P. Mycan ⚽

33′

I. Kurowski 🟨

40′

45′

⚽ B. Wdowik 2–1

Half-time 2–1

46′

🔁 Israel Puerto

↦ M. Matysik

3–1 R. Ostrowski ⚽

47′

53′

🟨 M. Pospisil

56′

🔁 Marc Gual

↦ M. Kowalski

56′

🔁 O. Wojciechowski

↦ M. Pospíšil

58′

🟨 F. Cernych

R. Dzidek 🟨

62′

K. Lechowicz 🔁

↦ R. Dzidek

67′

K. Zając 🔁

↦ I. Kurowski

67′

🔁 M. Bortniczuk

↦ F. Černych

67′

🔁 W. Łaski

↦ J. Lewicki

J. Malec 🔁

↦ S. Górski

75′

V. Szwed 🔁

↦ M. Loboda

75′

Ł. Maćkowiak 🔁

↦ M. Zientarski

84′

Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Lechia Zielona Góra

W. Fabisiak

S. Górski

R. Ostrowski

Gabriel Estigarribia

M. Surożyński

J. Babij

M. Loboda

M. Zientarski

R. Dzidek

I. Kurowski

P. Mycan

Bench (9)

K. Lechowicz

K. Zając

J. Malec

V. Szwed

Ł. Maćkowiak

B. Żurawski

J. Kołodenny

K. Staśkiewicz

S. Słodki

Coach: A. Sawicki

Jagiellonia

S. Abramowicz

B. Nastić

B. Țîru

B. Wdowik

M. Matysik

J. Lewicki

F. Černych

M. Pospíšil

Nené

Jesús Imaz

M. Kowalski

Bench (9)

Israel Puerto

Marc Gual

O. Wojciechowski

M. Bortniczuk

W. Łaski

A. Trubeha

B. Bida

Juan Cámara

Z. Alomerović

Coach: M. Stolarczyk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

30. Aug CUP 4 years ago

Referee

K Arys · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,0 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

23,6 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Lechia Zielona Góra

Jagiellonia

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee