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Puchar Polski

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Wisła Puławy 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Pogoń Siedlce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Radunia Stężyca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Garbarnia Kraków 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Motor Lublin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Kalisz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Polonia Warszawa Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1–0 P. Tomczyk
22′
2–0 P. Tomczyk
41′
Half-time 2–1
62′
P. Cichocki 2–1
3–1 M. Kluska
67′
95′
B. Krzysztofek 3–2
Full-time 3–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.