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Europa League
Referee: R Reinshreiber
Qarabag
T S S T U
2–1
Full-time
HJK Helsinki
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag HJK Helsinki
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
22 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Qarabag HJK Helsinki
30′
🟨 Bojan Radulović
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Leandro Andrade ⚽
A. Zoubir
55′
59′
🔁 T. Ollila
↦ P. Soiri
H. Keyta 🔁
↦ Y. Benzia
71′
Juninho 🔁
↦ R. Xhixha
71′
72′
🔁 A. Olusanya
↦ B. Radulović
72′
🔁 S. Hostikka
↦ T. Keskinen
72′
🔁 F. Rogić
↦ A. Tanaka
77′
⚽ A. Olusanya 1–1
S. Hostikka
2–1 Juninho ⚽
H. Keyta
85′
M. Medvedev 🔁
↦ T. Bayramov
92′
Patrick Andrade 🔁
↦ Leandro Andrade
92′
B. Hüseynov 🔁
↦ B. Mustafazadə
92′
93′
🔁 P. Hetemaj
↦ G. Kanellópoulos
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
27 T. Bayramov D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev M
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
19 R. Xhixha F
Bench (12)
17 H. Keyta
18 Juninho
5 M. Medvedev
66 Patrick Andrade
55 B. Hüseynov
4 R. Məmmədov
89 A. Ramazanov
90 N. Axundzadə
11 A. Diakhaby
20 R. Almeyda
23 L. Gugeshashvili
83 N. Quliyev

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

HJK Helsinki

3-4-3
1 J. Öst G
4 J. Toivio D
15 M. Tenho D
22 J. Raitala D
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan D
24 G. Kanellópoulos M
10 L. Lingman M
23 P. Soiri M
37 A. Tanaka M
9 B. Radulović F
18 T. Keskinen M
Bench (10)
2 T. Ollila
29 A. Olusanya
7 S. Hostikka
8 F. Rogić
56 P. Hetemaj
78 A. Ramula
3 N. Hämäläinen
85 N. Mäenpää
5 Kristopher Da Graca
6 A. Halme

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Reinshreiber · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.