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Conference League
Referee: G Kikacheishvili
Ad. Demirspor
S T S U S
5–1
Full-time
NK Osijek
S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor NK Osijek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
19 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ad. Demirspor NK Osijek
1–0 J. Svensson ⚽
3′
2–0 Y. Sarı ⚽
16′
Half-time 2–0
Nani 🔁
↦ D. Akintola
46′
46′
🔁 D. Bukvić
↦ M. Caktaš
46′
🔁 K. Lovrić
↦ V. Jugović
3–0 C. Ndiaye ⚽
51′
65′
🟨 Petar Brlek
66′
🟨 Marko Malenica
66′
🟨 Kristijan Lovrić
4–0 C. Ndiaye ⚽
67′
D. Toköz 🔁
↦ E. Akbaba
70′
A. Burak 🔁
↦ S. Güler
71′
71′
🔁 I. Fiolić
↦ P. Pušić
71′
🔁 K. Fućak
↦ R. Mierez
Younès Belhanda 🟨
72′
73′
⚽ Š. Gržan 4–1
77′
🔁 S. Evangelou
↦ A. Barišić
78′
🟨 Stefanos Evangelou
Y. Erdoğan 🔁
↦ Y. Sarı
80′
M. Niang 🔁
↦ C. Ndiaye
87′
5–1 Y. Erdoğan ⚽
88′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
18 G. Karačić G
22 J. Svensson D
15 J. Manev D
4 S. Güler D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
90 B. Stambouli M
8 E. Akbaba M
7 Y. Sarı M
10 Y. Belhanda M
11 D. Akintola M
99 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (9)
30 Nani
26 D. Toköz
21 A. Burak
32 Y. Erdoğan
9 M. Niang
25 E. Özbir
3 A. Dursun
6 T. Aydoğan
2 İ. Çokçalış

Coach: P. Kluivert

NK Osijek

4-3-3
31 M. Malenica G
17 Š. Gržan D
37 A. Barišić D
5 S. Mkrtchyan D
55 O. Drambaev D
6 D. Nejašmić M
23 P. Brlek M
7 V. Jugović M
11 M. Caktaš F
13 R. Mierez F
66 P. Pušić F
Bench (12)
39 D. Bukvić
44 K. Lovrić
14 I. Fiolić
8 K. Fućak
41 S. Evangelou
10 J. Špoljarić
79 A. Hiroš
36 N. Omerović
15 M. Barešić
42 Renan Guedes
1 T. Sajko
98 Š. Mikolčić

Coach: S. Tomas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kikacheishvili · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.