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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: A Bodding

Sogndal

T S S S U

0–1

Full-time

Fredrikstad

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

50%

42%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 54%

58%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,1

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 3. · Fredrikstad 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kongsvinger	12	8	0	4	+7	24
2	Fredrikstad	12	5	7	0	+6	22
3	Sogndal	12	6	3	3	+2	21
4	Start	13	5	5	3	+6	20
5	Ranheim	13	6	2	5	-3	20
6	KFUM Oslo	12	5	4	3	+5	19
7	Kristiansund	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	Jerv	13	5	3	5	+0	18
9	Mjondalen	13	5	3	5	+0	18
10	Moss	12	4	4	4	-3	16
11	hodd	13	3	5	5	+0	14
12	Sandnes ULF	12	3	4	5	+1	13
13	Bryne	12	3	4	5	-4	13
14	Raufoss	12	2	4	6	-2	10
15	Skeid	12	2	4	6	-12	10
16	Asane	12	1	5	6	-5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kongsvinger	6	5	0	1	+9	15
2	Start	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Kristiansund	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Sogndal	5	4	1	0	+4	13
5	Moss	6	4	1	1	+3	13
6	Fredrikstad	6	3	3	0	+4	12
7	Ranheim	6	4	0	2	+0	12
8	KFUM Oslo	6	3	2	1	+5	11
9	Jerv	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Bryne	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Sandnes ULF	7	2	2	3	+1	8
12	hodd	7	1	4	2	-1	7
13	Raufoss	5	1	3	1	+3	6
14	Mjondalen	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Skeid	6	1	2	3	-7	5
16	Asane	5	0	2	3	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mjondalen	6	4	0	2	+2	12
2	Fredrikstad	6	2	4	0	+2	10
3	Kongsvinger	6	3	0	3	-2	9
4	KFUM Oslo	6	2	2	2	+0	8
5	Sogndal	7	2	2	3	-2	8
6	Ranheim	7	2	2	3	-3	8
7	hodd	6	2	1	3	+1	7
8	Start	7	1	4	2	+0	7
9	Jerv	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Asane	7	1	3	3	-2	6
11	Sandnes ULF	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Kristiansund	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Skeid	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Bryne	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Raufoss	7	1	1	5	-5	4
16	Moss	6	0	3	3	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.