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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Lien
Fredrikstad
T T T U T
5–2
Full-time
Sogndal
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
4,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
24%
43%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 60%
52%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 12. · Sogndal 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 21 18 3 0 +51 57
2 Ranheim 21 11 6 4 +9 39
3 Stabaek 21 10 7 4 +20 37
4 KFUM Oslo 20 10 5 5 +6 35
5 Sandnes ULF 20 10 4 6 +7 34
6 Sogndal 21 9 5 7 -1 32
7 Raufoss 21 8 7 6 -4 31
8 Start 20 8 6 6 +11 30
9 Kongsvinger 18 7 6 5 +5 27
10 Mjondalen 21 8 3 10 -11 27
11 Asane 21 6 7 8 -15 25
12 Fredrikstad 21 5 7 9 -5 22
13 Bryne 21 5 5 11 -14 20
14 Skeid 21 4 3 14 -15 15
15 Stjørdals-Blink 21 3 5 13 -21 14
16 Grorud 21 0 7 14 -23 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad Sogndal
J. Lindstrom 🟨
8′
1–0 R. Alba
14′
2–0 L. Lima
25′
L. Lima 🟨
42′
42′
S. Ørjasæter 2–1
Half-time 2–1
N. Solberg 🔁
↦ L. Lima
46′
3–1 N. Solberg
54′
O. Øby 🔁
↦ J. Lindström
62′
O. Okeke 🔁
↦ N. Williams
62′
62′
🔁 E. Kupen
↦ E. Grønner
62′
🔁 A. Nord
↦ J. Jónsson
72′
🟨 U. Mathisen
M. Maden 🔁
↦ T. Drage
74′
75′
🔁 E. Lereng
↦ P. Slørdahl
O. Jansson 🟨
76′
77′
A. Nord 3–2
4–2 N. Solberg
80′
I. Kingsley 🔁
↦ R. Alba
83′
B. Johansen 🟨
86′
5–2 O. Øby
97′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
18 L. Begby
3 B. Skaret
21 O. Jansson
7 T. Drage
14 J. Lindström
20 H. Åsheim
11 R. Alba
24 N. Williams
29 L. Lima
Bench (9)
10 N. Solberg
19 O. Øby
22 O. Okeke
23 M. Maden
15 I. Kingsley
2 A. Hansen
16 M. Solhaug Wenneberg
17 T. Johansen
25 O. Langbråten

Coach: B. Johansen

Sogndal

1 R. Fij
13 P. Flo
26 A. van der Spa
22 P. Slørdahl
7 J. Jónsson
8 V. Ingimundarson
11 A. Hoven
19 U. Mathisen
27 S. Ørjasæter
99 A. Díaz
28 E. Grønner
Bench (7)
9 E. Kupen
23 A. Nord
16 E. Lereng
5 H. Gunnarsson
21 J. Johnsen
29 K. Steinset
30 E. Flataker

Coach: T. Flo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.