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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Koløy
Sogndal
T S S S T
3–3
Full-time
Kongsvinger
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 60%
53%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
53%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
59%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 5. · Kongsvinger 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kongsvinger 18 12 1 5 +12 37
2 Fredrikstad 18 9 8 1 +12 35
3 KFUM Oslo 18 10 4 4 +10 34
4 Start 18 8 6 4 +13 30
5 Sogndal 17 9 3 5 +6 30
6 Kristiansund 16 7 5 4 +7 26
7 Jerv 18 7 4 7 -4 25
8 Moss 18 6 5 7 -5 23
9 Ranheim 18 7 2 9 -15 23
10 Raufoss 18 6 4 8 -1 22
11 Bryne 17 6 4 7 -1 22
12 Mjondalen 18 6 3 9 -3 21
13 Sandnes ULF 17 5 5 7 +5 20
14 Asane 18 2 8 8 -7 14
15 hodd 17 3 5 9 -9 14
16 Skeid 18 2 5 11 -20 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Kongsvinger
7′
J. Grundt 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 K. Nessø
57′
2–1 Ó. Borgþórsson
61′
65′
🟨 F. Holme
3–1 S. Ørjasæter
71′
72′
🔁 V. Moberg
↦ J. Grundt
72′
🔁 M. Hellan
↦ V. Grodås
72′
🔁 J. Holtan
↦ M. Andersen
72′
🔁 E. Myrlid
↦ A. Güven
73′
V. Moberg 3–2
E. Grønner 🔁
↦ V. Ingimundarson
78′
78′
M. Vinjor 3–3
P. Flo 🔁
↦ I. Twum
85′
J. Berg Nundal 🔁
↦ J. Jónsson
85′
87′
🔁 M. Eriksen
↦ L. Langrekken
92′
🟨 M. Hellan
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 R. Fij
4 D. Arrocha
26 A. van der Spa
17 M. Sjølstad
15 K. Nessø
7 J. Jónsson
20 I. Twum
8 V. Ingimundarson
11 A. Hoven
77 Ó. Borgþórsson
27 S. Ørjasæter
Bench (9)
28 E. Grønner
13 P. Flo
31 J. Berg Nundal
3 M. Gueye
9 E. Kupen
23 A. Nord
30 E. Flataker
32 M. Øren
35 D. Saetren

Coach: T. Flo

Kongsvinger

1 A. Strömberg
10 L. Gerson
3 V. Grodås
12 M. Haakenstad
5 F. Holmé
6 H. Holter
23 M. Vinjor
20 J. Grundt
9 A. Güven
11 M. Andersen
22 L. Langrekken
Bench (9)
8 V. Moberg
16 M. Hellan
18 J. Holtan
26 E. Myrlid
15 M. Eriksen
19 K. Jahr
21 D. Lysgård
28 R. Christiansen
31 A. Smedplass

Coach: V. Hansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.