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Süper Lig
Referee: O Turtay
Rizespor
T S S U T
3–2
Full-time
Konyaspor
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Konyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
55%
52%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
65%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,40 xG 1,40
55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rizespor 9. · Konyaspor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 31 23 5 3 +49 +32.6 74
2 Fenerbahce 31 19 10 2 +35 +30.4 67
3 Trabzonspor 31 19 8 4 +24 +9.7 65
4 Besiktas 31 16 8 7 +18 +26.3 56
5 Buyuksehyr 31 14 9 8 +21 +7.5 51
6 Goztep 31 13 12 6 +12 +8.4 51
7 Samsunspor 31 11 12 8 -2 +6.3 45
8 Konyaspor 31 10 10 11 -2 -1.7 40
9 Rizespor 31 9 10 12 -3 -0.4 37
10 Gaziantep 31 9 10 12 -11 -3.8 37
11 Kocaelispor 31 9 9 13 -10 -2.0 36
12 Alanyaspor 31 6 15 10 -1 -9.4 33
13 Kasimpasa 31 7 10 14 -16 -14.6 31
14 Genclerbirligi 31 7 7 17 -14 -18.6 28
15 Eyüpspor 31 7 7 17 -19 -18.5 28
16 Antalyaspor 31 7 7 17 -21 -23.8 28
17 Kayserispor 31 5 11 15 -34 -14.3 26
18 Karagumruk 31 5 6 20 -26 -14.2 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
3,61
B
3,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,08
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.