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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myc
Legia
U S U S T
1–0
Full-time
Widzew Lodz
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
40%
47%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,67 xG 0,30
62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
15 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 15. · Widzew Lodz 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 30 14 10 6 +14 +25.7 52
2 Gornik Zabrze 30 14 7 9 +9 -3.7 49
3 Jagiellonia 30 12 10 8 +11 -4.9 46
4 Rakow 30 13 7 10 +6 +8.7 46
5 Wisla Plock 30 12 9 9 +4 -0.9 45
6 Zaglebie 30 12 8 10 +7 -7.3 44
7 GKS Katowice 30 13 5 12 +2 -5.6 44
8 Lechia Gdansk 30 12 7 11 +3 +5.2 43
9 Radomiak Radom 30 10 10 10 +3 +1.0 40
10 Piast Gliwice 31 11 7 13 -1 -0.9 40
11 Korona Kielce 31 10 9 12 +1 -4.3 39
12 Motor Lublin 30 9 12 9 -6 -8.9 39
13 Cracovia 30 9 11 10 -3 +1.9 38
14 Pogon Szczecin 30 11 5 14 -5 +4.1 38
15 Legia 30 8 13 9 -2 +2.0 37
16 Widzew Lodz 30 10 6 14 -1 +4.6 36
17 Arka Gdynia 30 9 7 14 -23 -7.4 34
18 Nieciecza 30 7 7 16 -19 -9.1 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Widzew Lodz
Paweł Wszołek 🟨
17′
A. Reca 🔁
↦ P. Wszolek
42′
Half-time 0–0
R. Vinagre 🔁
59′
Juergen Elitim 🟨
63′
R. Adamski 🔁
↦ J. Nsame
77′
W. Urbanski 🔁
↦ D. Szymanski
77′
K. Chodyna 🔁
↦ P. Kun
77′
78′
🔁 O. Bukari
↦ M. Fornalczyk
82′
🔁 A. Baena Perez
↦ L. Selahi
82′
🔁 M. Krajewski
↦ C. Isaac
1–0 R. Adamski
90′
Kacper Chodyna 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Emil Kornvig
91′
🔁 A. Zeqiri
↦ S. Bergier
96′
🟨 Fran Álvarez
Bartosz Kapustka 🟨
98′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Legia

5-3-2
89 O. Hindrich G
7 P. Wszolek D
91 K. Piatkowski D
8 R. Augustyniak D
12 R. Pankov D
23 P. Kun D
67 B. Kapustka M
22 J. Elitim M
44 D. Szymanski M
18 J. Nsame F
29 M. Rajovic F
Bench (12)
1 K. Tobiasz
13 A. Reca
77 E. Krasniqi
9 R. Adamski
6 H. Arreiol
53 W. Urbanski
99 S. Kovacik
20 J. Zewlakow
56 J. Leszczynski
19 R. Vinagre
11 K. Chodyna
82 K. Urbanski

Coach: Marek Papszun

Widzew Lodz

5-4-1
1 B. Dragowski G
2 C. Isaac D
4 M. Zyro D
25 P. Wisniewski D
53 S. Kapuadi D
3 S. Kozlovsky D
10 F. Alvarez M
18 L. Selahi M
8 E. Kornvig M
7 M. Fornalczyk M
99 S. Bergier F
Bench (9)
30 V. Ilic
98 M. Kikolski
9 A. Zeqiri
5 S. Andreou
19 B. Pawlowski
22 O. Bukari
77 A. Baena Perez
14 R. Visus
91 M. Krajewski

Coach: Aleksandar Vukovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Myc · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.