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Premiership

Referee: C Scott

Partick

T S T T U

2–1

Full-time

Dunfermline

U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Partick Dunfermline

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 27%

33%

20%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 27%

33%

20%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

0,8

0,4

Conceded

1,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Premiership · 1/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	37	24	8	5	+35	+14.5	80
2	Celtic	37	25	4	8	+30	+24.1	79
3	Rangers	37	19	12	6	+30	+21.0	69
4	Motherwell	37	15	13	9	+22	+8.6	58
5	Hibernian	37	15	12	10	+15	+0.8	57
6	Falkirk	37	14	7	16	-9	+3.0	49
7	Dundee United	37	10	14	13	-11	-11.6	44
8	Aberdeen	37	11	7	19	-14	-14.6	40
9	Dundee	37	10	9	18	-20	-14.4	39
10	Kilmarnock	37	9	10	18	-21	-11.1	37
11	St Mirren	37	8	9	20	-25	-2.8	33
12	Livingston	37	2	15	20	-32	-17.6	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	19	15	4	0	+26	+8.0	49
2	Celtic	18	14	1	3	+26	+15.8	43
3	Rangers	19	11	5	3	+18	+16.0	38
4	Motherwell	19	10	6	3	+19	+11.3	36
5	Hibernian	18	8	6	4	+14	+5.4	30
6	Dundee	18	8	4	6	+2	-6.3	28
7	Dundee United	19	7	7	5	+2	-2.4	28
8	Aberdeen	19	7	5	7	+5	-4.8	26
9	Falkirk	19	7	5	7	+2	+5.7	26
10	Kilmarnock	19	7	4	8	+0	+2.5	25
11	St Mirren	18	5	5	8	-11	+1.4	20
12	Livingston	17	1	8	8	-9	-5.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	19	11	3	5	+4	+8.3	36
2	Rangers	18	8	7	3	+12	+5.0	31
3	Hearts	18	9	4	5	+9	+6.5	31
4	Hibernian	19	7	6	6	+1	-4.6	27
5	Falkirk	18	7	2	9	-11	-2.7	23
6	Motherwell	18	5	7	6	+3	-2.7	22
7	Dundee United	18	3	7	8	-13	-9.1	16
8	Aberdeen	18	4	2	12	-19	-9.8	14
9	St Mirren	19	3	4	12	-14	-4.2	13
10	Kilmarnock	18	2	6	10	-21	-13.5	12
11	Dundee	19	2	5	12	-22	-8.0	11
12	Livingston	20	1	7	12	-23	-12.0	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.