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Premiership
Referee: G Aitken
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Raith Rovers Dunfermline
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
0,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
0,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 36 30 6 0 +72 96
2 Celtic 36 21 10 5 +45 73
3 Hibernian 36 17 8 11 +12 59
4 Aberdeen 36 15 11 10 +3 56
5 ST Johnstone 36 11 11 14 -6 44
6 Livingston 36 12 8 16 -9 44
7 Motherwell 36 12 8 16 -15 44
8 St Mirren 36 11 10 15 -8 43
9 Dundee United 36 10 12 14 -18 42
10 Ross County 36 9 6 21 -33 33
11 Kilmarnock 36 9 5 22 -13 32
12 Hamilton 36 7 9 20 -30 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Raith Rovers Dunfermline
Lewis Vaughan 🟨
14′
Half-time 0–0
Iain Davidson 🟨
62′
1–0 L. Vaughan
64′
Brad Spencer 🟨
67′
70′
🔁 S. Banks
↦ C. Wighton
70′
🔁 D. McManus
↦ L. Mayo
Ross Matthews 🟨
76′
76′
🟨 Ewan Henderson
D. Tait 🔁
↦ R. Matthews
76′
C. Ugwu 🔁
↦ J. Gullan
82′
Fernandy Mendy 🔁
↦ I. Davidson
85′
85′
🔁 F. Murray
↦ E. Murray
2–0 C. Ugwu
B. Spencer
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Raith Rovers

4-2-3-1
1 J. MacDonald G
4 I. Davidson M
6 K. Benedictus D
3 K. MacDonald M
2 R. Tumilty F
12 R. Matthews M
8 R. Hendry F
7 D. Armstrong M
13 B. Spencer M
10 L. Vaughan M
32 J. Gullan F
Bench (7)
18 D. Tait
23 C. Ugwu
5 Fernandy Mendy
22 N. Cooney
17 R. Thomson
11 T. Abraham
26 A. King

Coach: J. McGlynn

Dunfermline

4-4-2
1 O. Williams G
16 S. Whittaker D
44 P. Watson D
5 E. Murray D
2 A. Comrie M
22 L. Mayo D
3 J. Edwards D
23 D. Thomas M
8 E. Henderson M
9 C. Wighton F
7 K. O'Hara F
Bench (7)
25 S. Banks
10 D. McManus
21 F. Murray
24 K. McInroy
20 C. Gill
6 K. MacDonald
13 V. Gašpuitis

Coach: S. Crawford

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Aitken · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.