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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Koløy
Aalesund
S T U T T
2–3
Full-time
Egersund
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Egersund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 31%
14%
47%
Points per game
0,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
57%
73%
Both score Ø 69%
57%
80%
Average goals
3,4
4,1
Scored
1,1
2,3
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 15. · Egersund 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valerenga 15 9 3 3 +19 30
2 Bryne 15 9 0 6 +6 27
3 Egersund 15 7 5 3 +7 26
4 Moss 14 8 2 4 +2 26
5 Kongsvinger 13 7 3 3 +0 24
6 Stabaek 14 6 5 3 +7 23
7 Sogndal 15 6 5 4 +6 23
8 Lyn 14 5 5 4 +8 20
9 Ranheim 15 5 5 5 +3 20
10 Raufoss 15 5 4 6 -3 19
11 Levanger 14 4 6 4 +7 18
12 Mjondalen 14 3 5 6 -6 14
13 Asane 15 3 4 8 -9 13
14 Start 15 3 4 8 -11 13
15 Aalesund 14 2 3 9 -15 9
16 Sandnes ULF 13 2 3 8 -21 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Apr -24 Egersund – Aalesund 3–1

Match report

Aalesund Egersund
1–0 B. Kristensen
26′
32′
🟨 J. Salmon
N. Hopland 🟨
36′
37′
J. Salmon 1–1
Half-time 1–1
S. Holte 🔁
↦ N. Hopland
46′
62′
J. Salmon 1–2
63′
🔁 H. Elvevold
↦ M. Høiseth
K. Nesso 🟨
68′
I. Atanga 🔁
↦ B. Kristensen
70′
E. Kolve 🔁
↦ D. Jóhannsson
70′
S. Senior-Hårvik 🔁
↦ T. Grøgaard
71′
82′
🔁 B. Mæland
↦ J. Salmon
82′
🔁 I. Halgunset
↦ M. Dahlby
85′
J. Holtan 1–3
M. Diop 🔁
↦ Cláudio Braga
86′
90′
🔁 J. Voilås
↦ J. Holtan
92′
🟨 C. Sleveland
2–3 S. Holte
95′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 S. Grytebust
5 T. Grøgaard
3 V. Međimorec
25 J. Kitolano
4 N. Hopland
7 K. Nessø
6 H. Hammer
11 D. Jóhannsson
18 M. Ramsland
10 Cláudio Braga
29 B. Kristensen
Bench (9)
33 S. Holte
19 I. Atanga
28 E. Kolve
32 S. Senior-Hårvik
27 M. Diop
17 N. Solskjær
21 A. Diop
26 T. Larsen
36 J. Norvik

Coach: K. Rekdal

Egersund

31 K. Skjærstein
12 R. Williams
2 Å. Midtskogen
14 J. Stålesen
8 C. Sleveland
22 H. Tadesse
26 J. Salmon
4 H. Falchener
9 M. Dahlby
23 M. Høiseth
99 J. Holtan
Bench (7)
15 H. Elvevold
3 B. Mæland
17 I. Halgunset
77 J. Voilås
1 A. Klemensson
19 F. Ghebreyohannes
21 K. Eggen

Coach: K. Thu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.