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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Fredrikstad

T U T U S

2–2

Full-time

Rosenborg

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Rosenborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

1,7

4,0

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 42%

47%

36%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

40%

71%

Both score Ø 56%

40%

71%

Average goals

2,4

3,4

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,13 xG 0,91

40% Possession 60%

14 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

5 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredrikstad 5. · Rosenborg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	17	11	4	2	+23	+13.2	37
2	Brann	17	8	6	3	+5	+10.9	30
3	Molde	16	8	4	4	+13	+11.0	28
4	Viking	15	8	4	3	+9	+4.9	28
5	Fredrikstad	15	7	5	3	+8	+0.9	26
6	KFUM Oslo	16	5	7	4	+0	+5.1	22
7	Stromsgodset	15	5	4	6	-4	-1.9	19
8	Lillestrom	14	6	1	7	-6	-3.7	19
9	Ham-Kam	16	4	5	7	+0	-1.5	17
10	Kristiansund	15	4	5	6	-3	-7.3	17
11	Haugesund	14	5	2	7	-5	-4.5	17
12	Tromso	16	5	2	9	-6	-8.1	17
13	Rosenborg	14	5	2	7	-7	-2.3	17
14	Sarpsborg 08	15	5	2	8	-8	-6.5	17
15	Odd	16	3	5	8	-14	-9.5	14
16	Sandefjord	15	3	4	8	-5	-0.7	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	3	0	+12	+5.6	18
2	Viking	8	5	2	1	+6	+2.3	17
3	Brann	9	5	2	2	+4	+9.9	17
4	Molde	9	4	2	3	+6	+8.9	14
5	Rosenborg	7	4	1	2	+1	+1.5	13
6	Kristiansund	7	3	3	1	+3	+3.3	12
7	Fredrikstad	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.7	9
8	Stromsgodset	7	2	3	2	+1	+1.7	9
9	Sandefjord	7	3	0	4	+0	-0.2	9
10	Tromso	9	3	0	6	-2	-0.6	9
11	Haugesund	8	3	0	5	-4	-1.3	9
12	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	1	5	-8	-1.3	7
13	Lillestrom	7	2	1	4	-8	-3.6	7
14	Odd	8	1	3	4	-7	-1.8	6
15	Ham-Kam	7	1	2	4	-3	-1.8	5
16	KFUM Oslo	8	0	5	3	-6	+5.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	1	2	+11	+7.6	19
2	Fredrikstad	9	5	2	2	+6	-0.7	17
3	KFUM Oslo	8	5	2	1	+6	-0.4	17
4	Molde	7	4	2	1	+7	+2.0	14
5	Brann	8	3	4	1	+1	+1.0	13
6	Ham-Kam	9	3	3	3	+3	+0.3	12
7	Lillestrom	7	4	0	3	+2	-0.1	12
8	Viking	7	3	2	2	+3	+2.6	11
9	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	1	3	+0	-5.1	10
10	Stromsgodset	8	3	1	4	-5	-3.6	10
11	Haugesund	6	2	2	2	-1	-3.2	8
12	Tromso	7	2	2	3	-4	-7.5	8
13	Odd	8	2	2	4	-7	-7.7	8
14	Kristiansund	8	1	2	5	-6	-10.6	5
15	Sandefjord	8	0	4	4	-5	-0.5	4
16	Rosenborg	7	1	1	5	-8	-3.8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.