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Ekstraklasa

Referee: L Kuźma

Stal Mielec

S U U T U

0–1

Full-time

GKS Katowice

S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec GKS Katowice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 21%

17%

25%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,55 xG 1,20

63% Possession 37%

15 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 12

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stal Mielec 11. · GKS Katowice 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
2	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
3	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
4	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
5	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
6	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
7	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
8	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
9	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
10	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
11	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
12	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
13	Puszcza	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.5	1
14	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.9	1
15	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.4	1
16	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
17	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
18	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
2	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
3	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
4	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
5	Puszcza	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
6	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
7	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
9	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
10	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
11	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
2	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
3	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
4	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
5	Piast Gliwice	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
6	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
7	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.9	1
8	Puszcza	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
9	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
10	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.